The Dow Jones Industrial Average Since 1896

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Since 1896 If you listen to the news, there is always a good reason not to be invested in the stock market. You may also like “The Stock Market Continues to Climb the Wall of Worry.” Image: virtueofselfishinvesting.com   Click the Image to Enlarge  

Commodity Stock Index vs. Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1937

Commodity Stock Index vs. Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1937 The chart shows that commodity stock prices have never been more depressed relative to the stock market. This Commodity Stock Index aligns with S&P North American Natural Resource Stock Index. Image: Goehring & Rozencwajg

Commercial and Industrial Loans Continue to Accelerate in the U.S.

Commercial and Industrial Loans Continue to Accelerate in the U.S. That’s a positive sign for the U.S. economy. Indeed, U.S. banks wouldn’t be lending if they were concerned about the economic situation. Past three recessions saw bank loans negative year over year.

Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities

Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities The probability of recession stands at 0.10%. When this recession indicator exceeds 5% (red line), history suggests that the probability of recession increases significantly. The chart shows the smoothed U.S. recession probabilities indicator on a log scale. Smoothed U.S. recession probabilities are obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model applied to four…

S&P 500 GICs Level 1 Sector Weekly Relative Rotation Graph

S&P 500 GICs Level 1 Sector Weekly Relative Rotation Graph Technology and discretionary are weakening. Industrials and materials are leading. Financials, utilities, staples, health care and real estate are improving. Energy and communication services are lagging. Image= BofA Global Research