Loan Demand
Loan Demand Demand for commercial & industrial (C&I) and commercial real estate (CRE) loans remains weak, which does not bode well for a soft landing. Image: BofA Global Research
Loan Demand Demand for commercial & industrial (C&I) and commercial real estate (CRE) loans remains weak, which does not bode well for a soft landing. Image: BofA Global Research
Manufacturing PMIs Manufacturing PMIs suggest that the industrial sector may continue to weaken ahead. Image: BofA Global Research
Performance – Sector Sensitivity to U.S. and Global GDP Growth The financial and industrial sectors are the most correlated with global growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Sensitivity of S&P 500 Sector Excess Returns to 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Financials, industrials, materials and energy sectors outperform most when inflation rises. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Stocks – U.S. Relative to Developed Markets Excluding U.S. Chart suggesting that the structural outperformance of U.S. stocks is vulnerable to an industrial recovery. Image: BCA Research
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note Yield Year-Over-Year Change Explained Chart suggesting that the slowing industrial economy and inflation explain U.S. 10-year Treasury note yield. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
The SARS Analog – Virus Outbreaks and Global Markets The chart shows the SARS analog (2002 vs. 2020), highlighting the S&P 500 Index, the MSCI China Index, emerging markets vs. U.S. EPS and the CRB Raw Industrials Index. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Stock Market Performance During U.S. Presidential Election Years Chart showing the average performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average during U.S. presidential election years, since 1900. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute
Stock Market Around First Rate Cut: Recession vs. No Recession The chart shows that the Dow Jones Industrial Average reacts positively to Fed first rate cuts. Image: Ned Davis Research
ANZ Global Lead Index The ANZ Global Lead Index is a leading indicator on global industrial production. The chart shows that growth momentum peaked in 2018. Currently, global growth is actually starting to moderate seriously. Image: ANZ Research
Forward Performance Following First Fed Funds Rate Cuts After first Fed rate cut, the S&P 500 performance is quite attractive on average when no recession. You may also like “Dow Jones Industrial Average Around First Fed Rate Cut.” Image: Strategas