S&P 500 Bottom-Up Consensus EPS Estimates
S&P 500 Bottom-Up Consensus EPS Estimates Negative earnings revisions could put pressure on the S&P 500. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Bottom-Up Consensus EPS Estimates Negative earnings revisions could put pressure on the S&P 500. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 EPS Growth Estimates S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to accelerate in the second half of 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Average Negative Sentiment Score YoY vs. Quarterly EPS YoY (Leading Indicator) Could slowing earnings growth lead to lower equity returns? Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Total Return Decomposition Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 returns to be moderate in 2022 and beyond, driven primarily by earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 – 2021E Sales and Profits Relative to 2019 Levels Will earnings growth drive the S&P 500 higher by the end of 2021? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation of the S&P 500 and the Top 5 Stocks Relative to Interest Rates The earnings yield gap for the top 5 stocks is 191 bp, just above the 40-year average of 144 bp. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Economic Growth vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Economic growth is a driver of earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Components of S&P 500 Total Return This year, S&P 500 returns are expected to be more earnings-driven than valuation-driven. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Inflation – S&P 500 LTM Sales Growth vs. Core CPI Since 1970 Rising inflation tends to boost S&P 500 earnings. According to Goldman Sachs, a 100bp increase in average annual core CPI would lift the S&P 500 EPS to $170 in 2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Trailing 4-Quarter EPS Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 earnings to contract by 21% in 2020, before rebounding by 30% next year and 11% in 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research