S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle The first quarter of an election year often exhibits a sluggish performance for the S&P 500 index, but as the year progresses, the market tends to regain strength, ultimately delivering a solid performance. Image: Carson Investment Research

Distribution of S&P 500 12-Month Total Returns

Distribution of S&P 500 12-Month Total Returns Goldman Sachs, in its base case scenario, expects the S&P 500 index to generate a total return of 6% in 2024, which is slightly below the average return typically observed during presidential election years.

Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500

Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 Seasonality can be a valuable tool when it comes to evaluating probabilities. Historically, November and December have tended to be positive months for the S&P 500 in pre-election years. Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 Performance in June

S&P 500 Performance in June In the past, when the S&P 500 has increased by more than 8% year-to-date heading into June in a pre-election year, positive outcomes have typically occurred in June. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance November – April During Midterm Years

S&P 500 Performance November – April During Midterm Years Historically, the six months from November through April have seen the best performance for U.S. stocks following midterm elections. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Average Annual Price Return

S&P 500 Average Annual Price Return Investors should expect below average returns for U.S. stocks next year, as 2022 is a midterm election year. Image: MarketDesk Research

S&P 500 Index Monthly Performance in October

S&P 500 Index Monthly Performance in October In October, U.S. stocks tend to perform better in odd years than in even years, as odd years avoid elections and midterms. Image: LPL Research