U.S. Dollar and President Trump
U.S. Dollar and President Trump This chart shows the correlation between the U.S. dollar and President Trump’s approval ratings Image: TD securities
U.S. Dollar and President Trump This chart shows the correlation between the U.S. dollar and President Trump’s approval ratings Image: TD securities
Global Trade Volume Growth in global trade volume is deteriorating at a rapid rate. Image: Financial Times
Growth Across 45 OECD Tracked Countries Chart suggesting stable growth this year and accelerating growth next year. Image: Charles Schwab
Corporate Bonds: IG Downgrade to HY and BBB Share of U.S. IG Market This chart highlights the resilience of BBB-rated bonds. BofA believes that there is little risk that IG ratings will fall to junk status in the next recession. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Dollar and Trump Job Approval Poll Average (Leading Indicator) This chart suggests that the U.S. dollar could rise, if it continues to track Trump’s approval rating. Image: Jeffrey Kleintop
Truck Tonnage vs. Air and Rail Freight Trucks represent 70% of U.S. freight and serve as a barometer of the U.S. economy. This chart suggests that shipping has changed since the Great Financial Crisis, but is not deteriorating. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
U.S. Corporate Bond Ownership More than 25% of U.S. corporate bonds are held by insurance companies. Many investment grade investors are not allowed to hold junk-rated bonds. Any drop in the credit ratings could amplify the next recession. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy
The Treadmill of U.S. Oil Shale Chart suggesting that the treadmill of U.S. shale is accelerating. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Earnings, Margins and Valuation Considering earnings growth, operating margin and valuation, the S&P 500 should remain under pressure until Q3 earnings season. Image: Fidelity Investments
Corporate Leverage in the U.S. U.S. corporate debt is high. This chart shows that U.S. corporate leverage is close to its previous peak on a net debt to EBITDA. You may also like “U.S. Leveraged Loan Index Rating Breakdown: 2008 vs. 2019.” Image: Credit Suisse Research
The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion The U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. That’s 53% of investment-grade bonds in the United States. Any drop in the credit ratings could amplify the next recession: many investment grade investors own BBB-rated bonds, but are not allowed to hold junk-rated bonds.…