U.S. Core Inflation Expected Over the Next 21 Months (Leading Indicator)

This chart shows the U.S. core CPI expected over the next 21 months. It has been quite accurate for more than 20 years.

The chart suggests that M2 velocity year-over-year leads U.S. core CPI by 21 months (R² = 0.61 since 1996).

You may also like “Where Does Inflation Come From?” and How to Get Inflation?

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