U.S. Consumer Prices Index vs. U.S. Composite PMI Input Prices (Leading Indicator) U.S. Composite PMI Input Prices tend to lead U.S. CPI by 6 months, reflecting the impact of changes in input prices on consumer prices over time. Image: Charles Schwab
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth A rise in the U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI is suggesting positive growth in 1Q EPS, with expectations of outperforming the initial projections. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Gold Annualized Returns and Volatility While gold has had periods of significant growth and can serve as a hedge against inflation, historical data suggests that equities have generally outperformed gold over the long term. Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Performance After >25% Gain in 100 Trading Days An increase of 25% or more in the S&P 500 within 100 days (using the first signal in a cluster) suggests a positive outlook for the next 12 months, historically resulting in a median gain of 13.4% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
Weekly Fund Flows The strong flows into money market funds reflect the attractiveness of these funds to investors seeking relatively stable returns in the current market environment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 and Percent of S&P 500 Members Above Their 200-Day Moving Average The expansion of market breadth in the U.S. stock market indicates a broader participation of stocks in the market movement, suggesting potential for further upside. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Money Market Fund Assets vs. Fed Funds Target Rate Money market funds often experience outflows 12 months after the initial rate cut. This occurs as investors reallocate their investments and adjust their risk exposure in response to fluctuations in interest rates and market conditions. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
Asset Classes – Valuation vs. History The current market environment reflects a contrast between relatively cheap commodities and expensive U.S. stock valuations. Image: Topdown Charts
Cumulative Annual Flows to IG Bond Funds Investment-Grade (IG) corporate bond funds have experienced a surge in investor interest and confidence this year, resulting in robust inflows into this asset class. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Annual Equities Fund Flows Investor appetite for equity funds remains strong, driven by optimism about potential returns and long-term growth prospects. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Money Market Fund Flows While the U.S. equity market has been steadily rising since its 2022 low, conservative investors maintain a strong inclination towards holding cash. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy