U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 At last week Friday’s close, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral, and the S&P 500 followed through on Monday, closing down just…
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 At last week Friday’s close, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral, and the S&P 500 followed through on Monday, closing down just…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score Last week, semiconductors and momentum names came under pressure, and with the S&P 500 showing a 77.09 overbought reading, the upside looks limited over the next few weeks. Image:…
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs still sees steady earnings growth pushing the S&P 500 up 17% to 8,000 in 2026, even if the ride stays bumpy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning sits at the 53rd percentile, a modest overweight with limited crowding and room for further upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Insider Transactions Ratio Buying and selling have fallen into balance, pulling the Insider Transactions Ratio back to neutral as corporate insiders look reluctant to place big bets on where the market goes next. Image: Barron’s
Valuation – S&P 500 NTM P/E At 16 times forward earnings, against 20 for the benchmark, the equal-weight index is not exactly cheap, but it looks more appealing on a relative basis. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Drawdown from 52 Week High of Various Global Tech Sectors or Tech Sensitive Indices Global tech and the usual tech‑sensitive indices are trading well below their 52‑week highs. This is the kind of year that…
Gold Price vs. Market Pricing of 25bp Fed Hikes (Inverted) Gold struggles as energy‑driven inflation keeps Fed rate‑hike risks alive, lifting the dollar and real yields and capping near‑term gains for bullion. Image: Goldman Sachs…
MCG & Tech vs. The Rest Earnings Growth Earnings growth for MCG and Tech is expected to keep accelerating from already lofty levels, while profits for the rest of the S&P 500 are projected to…
MSCI Equity Indexes, Total Return in US$ Since Trump’s inauguration, U.S. equities have lagged their global peers, with Europe ahead by 12%, Japan by 17%, and emerging markets by 27%. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Sector Fund Flows Tech funds have attracted heavy inflows over the past 12 months, fueled by AI enthusiasm, chip strength and improving earnings expectations. Will the run continue? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation