U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day…

Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index Optimism is running hot, with the S&P 500 touching new highs, the Greed and Fear Index up to 82.92, and equity allocations elevated. Image: Real Investment Advice

Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning sits at the 65th percentile, moderately overweight but far from stretched, leaving space for more upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 0.7, Goldman Sachs’ US Equity Sentiment Indicator points to the kind of setup that has historically preceded another push higher in the S&P 500 over the coming month. Image:…

Change in Consensus EPS The market is still a Big Tech story. Earnings estimates for 2026 keep climbing for the tech giants, while the rest of the S&P 493 struggles to keep up. Image: Goldman…

Distribution of 1-Year S&P 500 Returns in Non-Recession Years Double‑digit losses are a rarity outside recessions, just 5% of the time. But when growth kicks in, the S&P 500 usually surges, notching double-digit gains nearly…

Small Cap Equity Positioning Investors are still favoring small-cap stocks in early 2026, with positioning at the 62nd percentile pointing to room for further upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

MSCI Equity Indexes, Total Return in US$ America’s equity outperformance topped out in 2022. U.S. growth still looks solid, but lofty valuations suggest tougher performance ahead, arguing for a more balanced global allocation in 2026.…

OECD G20 Composite Leading Indicator The OECD’s global leading indicator is running above trend and gaining momentum, signaling a pickup in the global growth cycle that has historically coincided with stronger risk-asset performance over government…

Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Wall Street is entering 2026 on a wave of optimism, as analysts see S&P 500 earnings climbing 15%. But small caps might steal the spotlight, with profits expected to soar 67%.…

S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs sees the S&P 500 gaining 12% in 2026 to reach 7,600, driven by steady growth, resilient profits, and a productivity lift from AI. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…