U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Wednesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 barely moved, closing up just 0.02%.…

S&P 500 – Corrections vs. Bear Markets The S&P 500 now stands roughly 83% above its long-term trend, with the Shiller CAPE close to 42. Even a 20% selloff would fall short of signaling a…

Stocks – Dow Jones with Major Geopolitical Events Major geopolitical events can rattle markets, but U.S. equities have repeatedly bounced back and pushed higher as investors refocus beyond the headlines, rewarding those who stay patient.…

Estimated S&P 500 EPS and Y/Y Growth Goldman Sachs is betting the earnings strength has legs, forecasting S&P 500 EPS growth of 24% in 2026 to $340, followed by 13% in 2027 to $385. If…

S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs raised its S&P 500 year-end target to 8,000 from 7,600, driven largely by stronger earnings expectations, with EPS doing much of the heavy lifting. Image: Goldman Sachs…

Indexed Market Cap and Consensus Fwd 12m EPS Estimates for S&P 500 Companies Earnings momentum is driving the AI infrastructure complex’s outperformance so far this year, with capital flowing to names that are already translating…

New York Fed GDP Nowcast At 2.61%, the New York Fed’s Q2 2026 GDP Nowcast points to an economy still on solid footing. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Click the Image to Enlarge

U.S. Equity Market Speculative Trading Indicator Animal spirits are on the rise, but not overheating. Retail activity and Goldman Sachs’s Speculative Trading Indicator are firm, but still below levels reached in past market climaxes. Image:…

Weight of Top 10 Positions in Median Hedge Fund Long Portfolio Hedge fund portfolio density is now at 72% and holding firm, with greater concentration in top 10 positions. Such concentration leaves markets vulnerable to…

Market Breadth – Percent Below 52-Week High S&P 500 Index Less Median Stock Gains look solid at first glance, but under the surface the picture is less convincing. Record highs in the S&P 500 are…

Annual U.S. Equity Issuance as % of Russell 3000 Market Cap “$600 billion in U.S. equity issuance in 2026” grabs attention and feeds the doom narrative. But relative to the total value of U.S. equities,…