U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Thursday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.81%.…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index stands at 72.8, as retail traders are still all-in while pros quietly cut back. That mix could make for choppy trading and one-sided…
S&P 500 Index Performance After Geopolitical and Major Historical Events Major geopolitical shocks can rattle investors, but U.S. stocks have a long track record of bouncing back, with median six‑month gains over 5% since World…
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning, at the 46th percentile, sits close to neutral, leaving room for more upside if momentum builds. But that moment hasn’t happened yet. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 0.4, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator is firmly in neutral territory, a level that has often preceded a push higher in the S&P 500 over the following month.…
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History Valuations are lofty at 22 times forward earnings for the S&P 500 and 26 for the Nasdaq 100, but investors keep piling in, convinced earnings momentum still has…
S&P 1500 Software & Services Median Shorts Short bets on software stocks have climbed to their highest level since the GFC, even as many firms keep turning in solid revenue growth. That crowding could spark…
Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities The probability of U.S. recession stands at 0.80%. When this recession indicator exceeds 5% (red line), history suggests that the probability of recession increases significantly. The chart shows the smoothed U.S.…
S&P 500 Dispersion While the S&P 500 looks calm on the surface, the action under the hood tells a different story: the realized volatility spread between the average S&P 500 stock and the index has…
Stocks – Dow Jones with Major Geopolitical Events Major geopolitical events often rattle markets, but history shows U.S. stocks usually bounce back and push higher as investors look beyond the turmoil, showing that patience remains…
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs is holding firm on its call for a 12% rise in the S&P 500 this year, targeting 7,600, driven by solid growth, steady earnings, and an AI-powered…