U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.69%.…
Recession – Leading Economic Index (LEI) vs. U.S. GDP
Recession – Leading Economic Index (LEI) vs. U.S. GDP A recession isn’t on the radar for 2026, but the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index keeps sliding, hinting that growth could still lose steam this year.…
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 March has often been kind to U.S. stocks, with data since 1964 showing the S&P 500 averages a 1.1% gain for the month. Maybe a touch…
Gold Price
Gold Price After the recent sharp pullback, gold is regaining ground helped by central‑bank purchases, lingering market jitters and growing bets on rate cuts. For now, global demand for bullion shows little sign of cooling.…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment The S&P 500 is hovering near record highs, and with sentiment sitting at 44 on the Fear & Greed Index, bulls still have room to push higher if…
% of Large-Cap Mutual Funds Outperforming their Benchmarks
% of Large-Cap Mutual Funds Outperforming their Benchmarks Active large-cap funds are enjoying an early win, with 57% topping their benchmarks so far this year, well above the average of 37%. But if history is…
Relative Equity Market Performance – USA vs. Rest of the World
Relative Equity Market Performance – USA vs. Rest of the World U.S. equities have lagged global peers recently, posting their steepest relative underperformance in 15 years. The leadership baton has passed to cheaper, more cyclical…
AAII Sentiment Survey
AAII Sentiment Survey U.S. retail investors turned more cautious over the past week as the AAII bull-bear spread fell to a three-month low, which is no surprise amid persistent market jitters. Image: The Daily Chartbook
U.S. Real GDP Growth
U.S. Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs is betting on a resilient U.S. economy, projecting growth of 2.7% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027, both ahead of consensus, as easing inflation and steady hiring keep the…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 74.93, the latest reading shows that active managers have trimmed their optimism on U.S. equities, pointing to a cooler but still confident mood in the market. Not too…
U.S. Equities – Net Portfolio Equity Flows
U.S. Equities – Net Portfolio Equity Flows Investors can’t seem to get enough of U.S. stocks. Net inflows in 2025 topped an amount equal to about 2% of GDP, an intensity the market hasn’t seen…