U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Thursday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 barely moved, closing down just 0.01%.…

U.S. Stock Market – Margin Debt With margin debt now above $1.4 trillion, investors are pushing deeper into risk. It does not ring the bell at the top, but when markets turn, heavy leverage tends…

S&P 500 Annual Highs Per Month Do not tell the bears that the S&P 500 has never peaked in June. Every other month has, at least once since 1950. If history is any guide, the…

Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment At 25 on the Fear & Greed Index, caution sets the tone. Market participants remain uneasy, even as the S&P 500 sits not far from its all-time high.…

U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator) U.S. heavy truck sales rose in May to 426K (annualized). Before recessions, heavy trucks sales tend to peak and then decline, providing insights into the overall health…

VIX and S&P 500 Seasonality The VIX and the S&P 500 usually move in opposite directions. As volatility rises from late July into the autumn months, the period often proves challenging for U.S. stocks. Image:…

S&P 500 in Gold Terms The S&P 500 priced in gold, often used to track real strength versus currency debasement, broke sharply higher three months ago, pointing to a shift toward stronger risk appetite. Image:…

New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed trimmed its Q3 2026 U.S. GDP nowcast to 2.45% from 2.46% a week earlier, keeping the growth story broadly intact. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New…

U.S. Technology Sector Fund Flows Tech funds are acting like a magnet for capital. U.S. inflows have surged to multi-year highs, with roughly $25 billion pouring in over the past four weeks. Sentiment is running…

NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 98.59, the NAAIM Exposure Index shows active managers are all in on risk, with strong conviction in U.S. equities and early signs of complacency. The National Association of Active…

S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures continues to track the S&P 500 below neutral, with upside potential still on the table. Image: MarketDesk Research