U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Wednesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.54%.…
S&P 500 Index – Best and Worst Days For the S&P 500, the best and worst days tend to show up side by side. Miss the best days and you give up gains, but sidestepping…
1000 Point Advances for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Yesterday marked the Dow’s 16th-ever 1,000-point surge, and President Trump can claim 14 of them. The magnitude of the move speaks for itself. Image: Carson Investment…
Valuations – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions) Despite the pullback, U.S. and global equity valuations remain elevated, with earnings momentum carrying the load. As long as companies keep delivering, those rich multiples may continue…
S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations Consensus expects S&P 500 earnings to rise 12% year on year in 1Q 2026, led by strong tech‑sector profits. Once again, it’s the tech names…
U.S. ETF and Mutual Fund Flows Over the past 12 months, many U.S. investors have piled into bonds and money market funds over riskier equities, amid geopolitical tensions and stubbornly high interest rates. Image: Goldman…
Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index The U.S. dollar’s sharp March rally fits the familiar script: investors rush back to the greenback when global risk sentiment turns sour, seeking its safety and deep liquidity. Image: Bloomberg
MSCI AC World EPS Analysts keep lifting MSCI AC World EPS forecasts for 2026, fueled by faith in tech and AI. But the Middle East conflict could quickly change the outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed nudged its Q2 2026 US GDP Nowcast up to 2.68% from 2.67% a week ago, a marginal lift that keeps the steady‑growth narrative intact. Nothing that…
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns U.S. equities often get a lift in the first and second half of April, but this year’s Middle East conflict has clouded the picture. Seasonality may take a back seat…
Positioning Across Sector Groups Investors are light on every sector but Energy and Utilities, where sentiment has run strong. No surprise there, Energy has been the only real bright spot lately. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…