U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Monday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.12%. Using…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 80.67, the S&P 500 is flashing overbought conditions. Sentiment has flipped quickly since the March lows, driving a sharp rebound. Some near-term consolidation would not be unusual at…
S&P 500 Index Returns Past 10 Years (May – October) May-October is often seen as the weaker stretch for the S&P 500, but the track record tells a different story. Over the past decade, the…
Discretionary Positioning and Earnings Growth Discretionary positioning still lags earnings growth, leaving room for the rally to keep pushing higher as long as revisions hold and macro risks stay contained. More equity exposure could follow.…
Insider Transactions Ratio Corporate insiders are growing more cautious as the Insider Transactions Ratio slips back into bearish territory. There is no sign of a rush to buy. Image: Barron’s
Valuation – S&P 500 NTM P/E With a forward P/E of 17 against 21 for the benchmark, the equal-weight index is no bargain, but it looks comparatively more attractive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Different Market Sentiment Indicators Market sentiment has climbed back to pre-war levels, with risk appetite improving, volatility easing, and flows shifting decisively into riskier assets. The mood is improving, but not yet euphoric. Image: Goldman…
S&P 500 Around Major Geopolitical Events Since 1939 What began as a geopolitical bounce has turned into an earnings-driven rally. The pace has been quick, but the move does not yet signal excess. It feels…
Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech sits at just the 32nd percentile, still underweight and nowhere near crowded, which keeps upside potential intact. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Trend Channel The S&P 500 remains below the upward trend channel that has been in place since October 2022, leaving scope for a push higher. Not there yet, but upside is still on…
Indexed Returns of AI-Related Portfolios vs. Equal-Weight S&P 500 The AI rally is still being driven by infrastructure winners, with chip giants, data center builders and cloud platforms cashing in while software and productivity names…