U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day…
S&P 500 vs. Forward EPS
S&P 500 Annual Rate of Change vs. Annual Change in GAAP Earnings The S&P 500 usually moves with earnings, so grounding an investment strategy in profit growth and consistency in 2026 looks like a smart…
S&P 500 Total Returns After Crossing Into the 9th and 10th Deciles of Valuation
S&P 500 Total Returns After Crossing Into the 9th and 10th Deciles of Valuation U.S. equities have a history of pushing higher despite lofty valuations. While nervous talk of a tech bubble persists, analysts point…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment With the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 61, optimism is in the air, but euphoria hasn’t taken over. Image: Cable News Network
S&P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections
S&P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections Midterm years often shake confidence on Wall Street. The S&P 500 usually slides 18% at some point during the year, but those downturns tend to open…
Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures
Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Lower tariff rates and a dovish shift at the Fed could set the stage for rate cuts below 3.5% by year‑end, assuming inflation keeps drifting toward target and…
Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions
Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -3.89% YoY in December. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary…
Global Stocks – MSCI AC World Local Index
Global Stocks – MSCI AC World Local Index Citigroup strategists are betting on a 10% rise in global equities this year, backed by a gentle economic slowdown, stronger earnings forecasts, and fresh AI tailwinds. Image:…
U.S. M2 Money Creation by Year
U.S. M2 Money Creation by Year All signs point to a 2026 liquidity wave: bigger money funds, solid bank credit, and $40 billion a month from the Fed in T‑bill buys. That could juice reserves, pump…
Share of Global Market Capitalization
Share of Global Market Capitalization Controlling 65% of the world’s equities, America still sets the tempo for global markets, drawing in capital and shaping sentiment from Wall Street to Tokyo. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment With the NAAIM Exposure Index at 96.01, active managers remain heavily invested in U.S. stocks, confident momentum still has room to run. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index…