NFIB Confidence vs. U.S. Small-Cap Stocks The NFIB Small Business Survey’s annual rate of change closely mirrors U.S. small-cap stock performance, making the NFIB index a key economic indicator for investors in this market segment.…
S&P 500 vs. Trend Line Growth Long-term trend charts show the S&P 500 trading significantly above its historical growth trajectory, with valuations at elevated levels—implying that U.S. equities are overvalued by traditional measures. Image: Ned…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment With a Fear & Greed Index of 63, market sentiment falls within greed territory; however, it is still moderate and does not point to extreme risk or overheating.…
Earnings of Tech Companies While U.S. tech stocks benefit from a wave of strong performance fueled by both hype and solid earnings fundamentals, non-tech stocks continue to experience prolonged earnings stagnation. Image: Topdown Charts
Earnings Sentiment (Analyst Upgrades Minus Downgrades Across Markets) The recent surge in S&P 500 earnings sentiment reflects a combination of strong corporate earnings beats—especially among large tech and mega-cap firms—rising revenue surprises, and improving market…
S&P 500 – Length and Severity of Bear and Subsequent Bull Markets Since 1970, the typical bear market lasts roughly 14 months, experiencing an average decline of around 38%, and is followed by bull markets…
Energy Group Positioning Energy positioning in the 55th percentile is considered neutral and far from extreme. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Index Inflation rose more slowly than expected, pushing the U.S. stock market to record highs. Given the current inflation outlook and Fed policy expectations, U.S. stocks may continue to climb. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 3-Month Return Dispersion S&P 500 return dispersion has risen above the long-term average in recent months, indicating that the gap between the best- and worst-performing stocks in the index has widened significantly. Image:…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment With the NAAIM Exposure Index at 85.66, active managers remain confident, holding meaningful stakes in the U.S. stock market, which suggests a mostly bullish but not overly optimistic view.…
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It…