U.S. Consumer Confidence in Higher Stock Prices vs. S&P 500 Trailing Valuations When consumers feel confident about future stock prices, current valuations rise because investors expect continued growth and are willing to pay more today…
S&P 500 Index Around First Cut Following Easing Cycle Pauses of Six Months or More Historically, when the Fed resumes rate cuts after holding steady for at least six months, U.S. stocks often post strong…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment The Fear & Greed Index, currently at 62, points to a moderate inclination toward greed but does not imply extreme risk-taking in the U.S. stock market. Image: Cable…
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total Because the S&P 500 is heavily skewed toward its top ten stocks—beyond their share of earnings—it is more vulnerable…
S&P 500 Cash Spending Relative to Cash Flows Many S&P 500 companies devote substantial cash flow to stock buybacks, a practice that benefits shareholders in the short term but sparks concerns about favoring short-term gains…
Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration $5.3 trillion in options notional value is set to expire today, marking the largest September expiration on record. This could spark increased market volatility as trading activity intensifies. Image: Goldman…
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. A 0.5% decline in the U.S. Leading Economic Index (LEI) in August 2025 indicates an ongoing slowdown in U.S. economic activity. Image: The Conference Board
Buying U.S. Equity Securities In 2Q 2025, foreign investors boosted their holdings of U.S. equities, while U.S. households and hedge funds cut back amid market volatility and policy uncertainty. Image: Deutsche Bank
Performance – S&P 500 vs. MSCI ACWI vs. Nasdaq 100 The Fed cutting interest rates while stocks are at record highs and the economy is still growing creates a bullish setup for equities, boosting investor…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment With a reading of 84.76, active managers show strong confidence in the U.S. stock market, keeping significant equity allocations that signal optimism without signs of excessive exuberance. The National Association…
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It…