Real S&P 500 Index vs. Conflicts

Real S&P 500 Index vs. Conflicts Markets hate uncertainty. History shows that the S&P 500 tends to stumble when major conflict breaks out, but it usually rebounds quickly unless demand or earnings take a real…

S&P 500 Four Month Range

S&P 500 Four Month Range The S&P 500 has spent four months drifting in a tight range, the kind of calm that rarely lasts. Which way it breaks is anyone’s guess, but as traders like…

Insider Transactions Ratio

Insider Transactions Ratio Insiders are back on the buy side, driving the ratio into bullish territory and adding a potential boost to the U.S. stock market. It’s always a good sign when insiders start buying…

Consensus EPS Growth Estimates

Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Wall Street is riding a wave of optimism as analysts project S&P 500 earnings to jump 14% in 2026 and 15% in 2027. The real action, though, may come from small…

Sectors Positioning (High Frequency)

Sectors Positioning (High Frequency) Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech has kept sliding and now sits slightly underweight, similar to cyclical sectors. A rebound in momentum could turn that into an opportunity. Image: Deutsche Bank…

Estimated Wealth Effects on Annualized Real PCE Growth

Estimated Wealth Effects on Annualized Real PCE Growth Should stocks stumble, the positive wealth effect supporting consumption may turn into a headwind during the second half of 2026. After all, consumer sentiment is definitely tied…

EPS Revisions

EPS Revisions Upward EPS revisions across the S&P 500, Topix and especially MSCI EM point to rising confidence in 2026 earnings growth. For now, momentum seems to favor strength over slowdown, except for the STOXX…

Risk Appetite Indicator

Risk Appetite Indicator Goldman Sachs’s Risk Appetite Indicator has eased slightly but still sits in positive territory, pointing to a moderate taste for risk among investors. Confidence is cooler, but far from cold. Image: Goldman…

Weight of TMT in the S&P 500

Weight of TMT in the S&P 500 At 37% of S&P 500 earnings, Information Technology and Communication Services remain the market’s driving force, with the trend still pointing higher. Hard to bet against tech when…