U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 At last Wednesday’s close, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish, and the S&P 500 confirmed it Thursday, closing up 0.81%. Using multiple…
Famous Market Bubbles: Peak-To-Trough Drawdowns Major market bubbles rarely fade quietly. Losses can be severe, and getting back to even can take years, sometimes decades, as leverage unwinds, valuations reset, and confidence takes a hit.…
Different Market Sentiment Indicators Volatility has cooled over the past month, and sentiment is still risk-on, but the market is far from euphoric, leaving room for more upside into earnings season. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning Investors are piling back into mega-cap growth and tech, driving positioning up to the 79th percentile. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Equity Sector Flows Money is still flooding into tech, industrials and real estate. Investors are chasing visible growth, hard assets and direct exposure to AI and infrastructure demand. Image: J.P. Morgan Equity Derivatives Strategy
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total What once reflected the market now drives it. The top ten S&P 500 names account for 39% of the…
S&P 500 Implied Correlation The S&P 500’s growing dispersion is putting stock selection back in focus, with fundamentals doing the talking again. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed tweaked its Q3 2026 U.S. GDP nowcast to 2.36% from 2.37% last week, leaving the broader growth narrative firmly in place Image: Federal Reserve Bank of…
Financials Group Positioning Financials have improved in positioning, but they remain in the 23rd percentile, leaving room for more risk-taking. Fundamentals are steady, so the caution still looks a bit excessive. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…
S&P 500 Quarterly EPS For Q2 2026, analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 22% from a year earlier, with tech once again doing almost all the work. The script hasn’t changed: technology remains the…
Fed Funds Rate The market’s baseline has shifted: traders see about 50 bp of Fed tightening over the next several months, something that would have been hard to believe in January. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…