U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Wednesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 barely moved, closing up just…

S&P 500 – Total Real Return of $1000 Investment with Dollar Cost Average vs. Valuations Sure, dollar-cost averaging can dull the pain of bad timing, but it won’t erase it. Even with the Fed’s heavy…

S&P 500 After Four Months Above the 50-Day MA Ends A break below the 50-day moving average after four months of strength might set off alarm bells, but history has usually rewarded patience. The S&P…

Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning With positioning at the 78th percentile, mega-cap growth and tech names continue to draw heavy interest. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

NYSE Margin Debt and S&P 500 Margin debt on the NYSE has seen the second fastest spike on record over the past six months. Spikes in margin debt at a much faster pace than broad…

Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Wall Street analysts are rallying behind a profit story for 2026, betting on a 13% earnings rise for the S&P 500. But the real fireworks may be in U.S. small caps,…

U.S. Equity Volatility vs. Credit Volatility Credit markets are calm, with volatility running below its long-term average, but equity volatility tells a different story, pointing to a more anxious tone in stocks. Image: Fundstrat Global…

Different Market Sentiment Indicators Despite a bump in volatility, risk appetite in global financial markets currently remains strong, with no decisive signs of fading. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Rolling 6-Month % Change in the S&P 500 Following a six-month rally that sent the S&P 500 soaring 23% through October 2025, investors are beginning to wonder if the market still has fuel in the…

S&P 500 Consecutive Trading Sessions Above 50-Day Moving Average The S&P 500’s 138-day rally above its 50-day moving average has come to an end, snapping the index’s second-longest run this century and putting volatility back…

Global Equities Performance The 2025 stock rally is spreading across regions, powered by strong gains in Europe and Asia while U.S. equities trail. Broad participation like this tends to keep bull runs alive longer than…