U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Two Wednesdays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 barely moved, closing down…

Margin Debt Balances – YoY % Change NYSE margin debt now exceeds $1.4 trillion, a 54% jump from a year ago and accelerating rapidly toward record territory. History shows that when leverage grows faster than…

S&P 500 Performance During Trump Years After a weak first quarter, the S&P 500 is tracking the familiar Trump-era playbook, with a rally still very much in play for the rest of the year. For…

Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index The Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index is at one of its most accommodative levels in years, a friendly setup for borrowing, fund-raising and broader risk appetite. Image: Deutsche Bank

The Performance of the S&P 500 Before and After Midterm Elections The post-midterm playbook has been remarkably consistent. Across the past 20 midterm elections since World War II, the S&P 500 was higher nine months…

Healthcare Positioning At just the 32nd percentile, healthcare positioning still looks underweight, leaving investors room to build positions. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Different Market Sentiment Indicators As volatility has eased over the past month, sentiment stays risk-on, but the mood is nowhere near euphoric, leaving room for more upside. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Semiconductor Earnings vs. Hyperscaler Free Cash Flows Semiconductor earnings are riding the AI capex wave, but hyperscaler free cash flow is taking a hit as spending on chips, data centers, and networking accelerates. Image: Goldman…

U.S. Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs expects the U.S. economy to hold steady, forecasting 2.0% growth in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027, with a resilient labor market keeping the expansion on track. Image: Goldman Sachs…

U.S. Dollar Net Positioning Traders haven’t been this bullish on the dollar in years. The greenback is gaining ground as markets price in a Fed hike. Dead dollar? Not yet. Image: Bloomberg

Median Short Interest Across Russell 3000 Stocks Median short interest across Russell 3000 names has surged to multi-year highs as bearish positioning intensifies, setting the stage for a potential squeeze. Crowded shorts have a habit…