ISM Manufacturing PMI and Global Stocks vs. Government Bonds In a potential shift from a “no” to a “hard” landing scenario, government bonds may outperform due to increased risk aversion, interest rate cuts, lower inflation…
Performance – S&P Regional Banks Index vs. S&P 500 Regional banks and the equal-weighted S&P 500 have recently reached new relative lows, a concerning trend in the financial market. This trend is noteworthy given the…
U.S. ISM Manufacturing and Services Survey Data A “soft recession” occurs when the manufacturing side of the U.S. economy contracts while services remain robust, leading to a period of slower economic activity. Image: Real Investment…
Performance of Different U.S. Fama French Factor Returns U.S. small-cap value has been the best bet over the past 25 years. However, small-cap value stocks are typically more volatile in the short term, making a…
Price of Oil Forecast In contrast to futures market’s expectations, Goldman Sachs forecasts a positive outlook for oil prices over the next 3 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Utilities Flows Utility funds continue to attract strong inflows, making them a popular choice for investors seeking stable and predictable returns. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
India Equity Fund Flows Investor behavior and sentiment are frequently gauged by analyzing fund flows. Over the past week, India equity funds experienced record inflows, indicating a surge in optimism among investors. Image: BofA Global…
S&P 500 3-Month Performance During an Election Year In Presidential election years, June to August stands out as the strongest 3-month period of the year. The S&P 500 has been up 75% of the time,…
Market – Geographical Breakdown of MSCI World Index Constituents The combined market capitalization of the Magnificent Seven would make it the second-largest country stock exchange globally. This would surpass the total value of many thriving…
Decomposition of S&P 500 Total Returns According to BofA, dividends are expected to play a larger role in S&P 500’s total returns in the future than they have over the past decade. Image: BofA US…
S&P 500 Performance One Year After >4% Monthly Gains Since 1950, the S&P 500 has never been lower a year after a monthly gain of over 4% in May. This period has been particularly profitable…