Asset Class Returns The dominance of U.S. large-cap stocks persists, with a strong return of 10.6% in Q1, outperforming other asset classes. This performance underscores the resilience and strength of the U.S. stock market. Image:…
S&P 500 Performance After Back-To-Back 10% Quarterly Gains Following two consecutive quarterly gains of 10%, which is quite rare, the S&P 500 has, on average, increased by 12.3% a year later since 1954. Image: Carson…
S&P 500 After Initial Fed Rate Cuts Outside Of Recession Outside of recessions, U.S. stocks have tended to rise after the Fed’s first rate cut, with an average gain of 15% within 12 months. Image:…
Total Equity Flows Since mid-2023, there has been a notable resurgence in equity flows. This upward trend brings promising implications and serves as a positive development for investors. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Global Oil Demand Growth BofA forecasts that global oil demand will continue to grow, but at a slower pace in the coming years, due to the increasing efficiency of energy technology. Image: BofA Global Research…
U.S. GDP Growth Forecast Goldman Sachs expresses confidence in the robustness of the U.S. economy, foreseeing a positive outlook for the growth of U.S. GDP. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
MOVE – U.S. Treasury Volatility Index The cooling of U.S. rates volatility, as measured by the MOVE index, can be seen as a positive development for the bond market and the broader economy. Image: BofA…
S&P 500 Valuation Metrics Various valuation metrics indicate that the S&P 500 is currently experiencing high valuations, with multiple indicators suggesting an overvaluation. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities The probability of recession stands at 1.48%. When this recession indicator exceeds 5% (red line), history suggests that the probability of recession increases significantly. The chart shows the smoothed U.S. recession…
Weekly Financials Flows Given the current market dynamics, potential regulatory changes, and ongoing economic trends, will flows into financials continue in 2024? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy