Inflation – Core U.S. CPI and Real Annualized Total Return for the S&P 500 U.S. core inflation above +0.2% MoM typically does not bode well for S&P 500 real returns. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 FY2 EPS Revision Sentiment Will S&P 500 FY2 EPS revision sentiment continue to improve? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Discretionary Investor Equity Positioning vs. S&P Global Composite PMI Discretionary investor equity positioning is not reacting to changes in the global composite PMI. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims U.S. initial unemployment claims are rising in states with tech and banks. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. 1-Month T-Bill Yield U.S. Treasury bills (T-bills) have been hit by concerns over the U.S. debt ceiling. A default by the U.S. government on its debt would have serious and prolonged financial and economic…

U.S. Labor Market – Initial Claims The jump in U.S. jobless claims is raising fears of a potential recession. Image: J.P. Morgan

How Do You Believe the U.S. Debt Ceiling Will Be Resolved? JPM clients are confident that the U.S. debt ceiling issue will be resolved at the last minute. Image: J.P. Morgan

S&P 500 Index Weekly vs. Moving Average Bull/Bear Signals Trading above the rising 40-week moving average can be seen as a bullish signal for the S&P 500. Image: Real Investment Advice

Fed – Months from Last Hike to First Fed Cut and from First Cut to U.S. Recession Historically, the median time from the last interest rate hike to the first cut is 4 months. Image:…

S&P 500 Rolling 12-Month % Change Will the S&P 500 be positive over the next 12 months? Image: Strategas Research Partners

S&P 500 and the Small Caps vs. Large Caps Ratio The S&P 500 remains in a secular bull market. Image: BofA Global Research