Inflation – Fed Funds vs. U.S. Core CPI
Inflation – Fed Funds vs. U.S. Core CPI Will the Fed pivot in 2023 if core CPI is significantly lower? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Inflation – Fed Funds vs. U.S. Core CPI Will the Fed pivot in 2023 if core CPI is significantly lower? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
12-Month Forward S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium The equity risk premium should rise as a recession is likely in the United States. Image: BCA Research
Passive Global Equity Flows Outflows from passive global equity funds are large. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
FMS Investors – Net % Say Corporate Earnings Will Improve vs. S&P 500 Consensus Forward EPS Will analysts continue to lower S&P 500 earnings estimates? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
U.S. Delinquencies, Personal Saving Rate and Unemployment Delinquencies in the United States are on the rise. Is a hard landing coming? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index Looser financial conditions will make it harder for the Fed to bring inflation back to 2%. Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 Annual Performance Based What the Year Before Did After a negative year, will the S&P 500 recover in 2023? Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 and Deviation Above/Below 24-Month Moving Average Reversion to the mean is a powerful force. Does the S&P 500 have room to fall further? Image: Real Investment Advice
Commodities – Performance of the S&P GSCI Across Supercycles Goldman Sachs expects the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index to return 43% in 2023. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Current Market Pricing for ECB’s Deposit Facility Rate The European Central Bank expects further rate hikes to fight inflation. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Dollar – Currency Returns Will the U.S. dollar underperform in 2023? Image: BCA Research