Timing the Peak in the U.S. Dollar
Timing the Peak in the U.S. Dollar A hard landing could be bullish for the U.S. dollar. Image: BCA Research
Timing the Peak in the U.S. Dollar A hard landing could be bullish for the U.S. dollar. Image: BCA Research
Labor Market – U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. Jobs “Hard to Get” Minus “Plentiful” How high will the U.S. unemployment rate rise? Image: Alpine Macro
Median S&P 500 Index Move Around Last Fed Hike Historically, the S&P 500 Index’s median return exceeds 5% about 22 weeks after the final Fed hike. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 Growth/Value Ratio Will value stocks continue to outperform growth stocks? Image: The Daily Shot
U.S. 10-Year Real Rates vs. Relative Performance of Nasdaq 100 vs. S&P 500 Will the Nasdaq continue to underperform the S&P 500 as U.S. real rates rise? Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Drawdown from 52-Week High and S&P 500 Performance 1-Year Later Historically, the S&P 500 has been positive one year after a 33% decline from 52-week high. Image: Charles Schwab
S&P 500 Price Return and USA Manheim Used Vehicle Prices As used-vehicle prices continue to decline, will the S&P 500 fall further? Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Behavior of the S&P 500 during Recent Fed Events Will the S&P 500 continue to dive at the next FOMC meeting? Image: Nomura
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid vs. U.S. CPI Inflation (Leading Indicator) The U.S. ISM manufacturing prices paid index tends lead U.S. inflation by 3 months. Image: Macro Markets Daily
Fed – Length of Hiking Cycles Across Countries Will the U.S. hiking cycle be longer than expected? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Volatility – Number of Months with S&P 500 Up or Down at Least 7.5% Will S&P 500 volatility subside in 2023? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research