Equity Performance – MSCI China vs. MSCI U.S. Beijing’s early-2024 intervention lit a rocket under Chinese equities, leaving Wall Street in the dust. Fueled by stimulus and growing investor conviction, the rally could stretch further…
Global Median 10-Year Yield Across All Sample Economies The median 10-year government bond yield has risen from the rock-bottom levels of the pre-Covid years and early pandemic, returning to its long-term historical average — a…
Hyperscaler Capex by Company Goldman Sachs is turning more bullish on hyperscaler spending, hiking its CAPEX outlook after 3Q25 results showed a wave of AI‑ and cloud‑fueled infrastructure growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index – Trend Channel After a long, uninterrupted climb since 2009, the S&P 500’s secular bull market looks mature, with the long-term trend channel suggesting growing risks beneath the surface momentum. Image: Ned…
Earnings Surprises of S&P 500 Companies Earnings season has made one thing clear — corporate profit strength isn’t fading yet, with 64% of S&P 500 firms smashing Q3 estimates by at least a standard deviation,…
S&P 500 Returns After the 10 Strongest May-October Returns The S&P 500 hasn’t seen a May–October surge like this since 1950! History says momentum like this rarely fades—nine out of ten times, the rally kept…
Various S&P 500 Index 6-Month Returns Wall Street’s sweet spot runs from November to April — the market’s “best six months” — when holiday spending, year-end bonuses, and tax considerations give stocks their seasonal lift.…
S&P 500 Returns After >15% YTD End of October Big years tend to end bigger. When the S&P 500 is already up more than 15% by October’s close, November and December combined have extended the…
S&P 500 Returns After Fed Cuts At All-Time Highs Bulls are smiling for good reason: Every time since 1983, rate cuts with the S&P 500 at record highs have been a winning formula — stocks…
Valuation – 10-Year Real Total Return for S&P 500 over the Last Century Based on Starting CAPE Ratio Markets love to stretch valuations to the limit, but history’s verdict is brutal: high CAPEs rarely end…
Proportion of S&P 500 Beating Earnings Estimate Earnings momentum isn’t cracking. With 85% of S&P 500 companies smashing earnings estimates so far, bulls are dancing while recession talk fades to a whisper. Image: Deutsche Bank…