Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average The Nasdaq 100 keeps ripping higher, but its widening gap from the 200-day average is starting to blink red for a possible 5%–10% pullback. Image: Bloomberg

New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed ticked its Q4 2025 GDP Nowcast to 2.26% from 2.25%, a barely noticeable shift that keeps the moderate-growth story alive. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New…

Magnificent Seven Earnings Growth EPS growth for the Magnificent Seven is set to slow to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. The group keeps smashing Wall Street’s targets, but the premium behind the tech trade…

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing Fed rate cuts don’t always spell a softer dollar. When viewed as a push to steady the economy, they can fuel near-term demand for the greenback. Image:…

Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Meeting Traders are near‑certain the Fed will trim rates by 25 bps today, and futures suggest another cut could follow in December, taking total easing…

Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield Sure, U.S. equities are expensive, but inflation and debt worries make bonds no easy refuge either. The smart move now? Stay selective, not scared. Image: Goldman Sachs…

Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500 October 27 has a curious pull on markets — a date when U.S. stocks often find a floor before seasonal inflows spark a late‑year surge. Image: Carson…

Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class While the 60/40 portfolio can’t match stocks in full bull mode, its long-run performance comes surprisingly close — a reminder that bonds still ground both risk…

CTAs Exposure to Gold CTAs have cut back on gold exposure, though they’re still sitting on a net long. A deeper slide in gold prices could force more liquidation if weakness persists. Image: Deutsche Bank…

CTAs Exposure to Equities Over the past four weeks, CTAs have tactically reduced equity exposure — down from the 90th to 75th percentile — cashing in gains across markets. Even so, they’re still notably long,…

Sector Contribution to S&P 500 EPS Growth Earnings for Q3 2025 are tracking close to the 8.5% S&P 500 EPS growth consensus, driven largely by the tech and financial heavyweights — a sign that this…