U.S. Stock Market – Margin Debt and Free Cash Balances The current record margin debt, exceeding $1 trillion, signals heightened investor risk-taking and confidence; however, if the market falters, this elevated leverage could amplify volatility…
Top 10 S&P 500 Returns June – August A strong summer rally, such as the one in 2025, typically signals bullish sentiment and often leads to further gains in the S&P 500 for the remainder…
Average and Median Monthly 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Change Since 2000 U.S. Treasury bond yields typically increase in September and October due to a surge in bond supply after the summer lull, combined with market…
S&P 500 Sectors Announced Buybacks (Last 3 Months) Over the past three months, the Financial, Industrial, and Information Technology sectors have been at the forefront of buyback announcements, driving a major portion of repurchase activity…
Global Financial Conditions Index Global financial conditions have eased to a 12-month low, supported by expectations of monetary policy easing, improved investor sentiment, tightening credit spreads, and a more stable economic outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Magnificent Seven and S&P 500 – 12-Month Trailing EPS The strong earnings power and consistent profit growth of the largest U.S. companies have been key factors in maintaining their dominant positions in the U.S. equity…
S&P 500 Performance After >25% Rally in 100 Trading Days (Since 1950) Good news for bulls: since April’s low, the S&P 500 has risen over 25% in 100 trading days—a rare event. Historically since 1950,…
S&P 500 2026 Target Driven by enthusiasm for artificial intelligence, Evercore ISI forecasts the S&P 500 will rise to 7,750 points by the end of 2026, marking a 20% gain from current levels. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Annualized 1-Month Volatility In this post-election year, the current period indicates increased volatility ahead for U.S. stocks, reinforcing the need for cautious risk management during this sensitive stage of the cycle. Image: Nautilus…
U.S. Fund Flows Since 2023, cash and bonds have attracted substantial inflows, driven by central bank policy shifts, investor preferences for income and safety, and broader macroeconomic factors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bond Seasonality – Monthly Median Return on Global 10y+ Goverment Bonds Long-term government bonds globally face a challenging September due to seasonality and ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties, reinforcing historical trends of September being their…