The U.S. Presidential Cycle
The U.S. Presidential Cycle How U.S. presidential elections affect stock market returns? This chart shows the forward return for the U.S. stock market based on election outcomes. Image: Fidelity Investments
The U.S. Presidential Cycle How U.S. presidential elections affect stock market returns? This chart shows the forward return for the U.S. stock market based on election outcomes. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Treasury Debt Average Maturity The U.S. Treasury debt average maturity has risen since the Great Recession. Image: Bianco Research
U.S. Presidential Elections and the Stock Market The first two years of presidential terms tend to produce below-average returns, while the next 2 years tend to produce above-average returns. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Research & Development Leads Productivity Growth U.S. Research & Development tends to lead productivity growth by 11 quarters. Image: Pictet Asset Management
Global FX Volatility In the current environment of low inflation and low interest rates, volatility in foreign exchange markets hits record low. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
AAII Bullish Sentiment 2009-2020 Optimism among individual investors is now the highest since October 2018. Image: Bespoke Investment Group
Conference Board U.S. Leading Index vs. U.S. GDP This chart shows the good correlation between the Conference Board U.S. Leading Index Year-over-Year (white line) and U.S. GDP (blue line). The LEI is a good recession…
Equity Flows vs. Equity Return Goldman Sachs is mildly bullish, suggesting that the demand for equity from funds could increase this year and support the stock market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation Expansion: Year-Over-Year Change in S&P 500 Forward P/E This chart suggests that investors shouldn’t expect valuation expansion this year. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Emerging Markets Monetary Policy vs. Economic Cycle (Leading Indicator) Chart suggesting that EM monetary policy easing is likely to increase economic activity in the coming months. Image: Topdown Charts
Consumer, Housing & Retail, Imports-Exports and Industrial Chart suggesting that consumer strength should pull the industrial economy upwards. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC