U.S. Core Inflation vs. Home Prices (Leading Indicator)
U.S. Core Inflation vs. Home Prices (Leading Indicator) Home prices suggest that core CPI seems likely to fall further. Image: Scotiabank Economics
U.S. Core Inflation vs. Home Prices (Leading Indicator) Home prices suggest that core CPI seems likely to fall further. Image: Scotiabank Economics
Fed’s Balance Sheet Composition Chart suggesting that the Fed should buy more Treasury bills and shift away from repo operations over time. Image: Deutsche Bank
Gold vs. Fed Funds Futures Chart showing the current divergence between gold and the implied Fed funds rate. Image: Longview Economics
Inequality – Median Wealth of U.S. Families The median value of assets owned by an American family is no higher than it was 20 years ago. Image: PEW Research Center
Core Inflation and Average Trailing S&P 500 P/E Ratio In periods of low inflation, the P/E ratio is higher. Conversely, high inflation tends to depress the P/E ratio. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Leading Indicators Are Improving Globally Leading economic indicators have been improving throughout 2019. This may suggest that global growth is back on track. Image: Richardson Wealth
Business and Industrial Sentiment vs. U.S. GDP Chart suggesting that business and industrial surveys have not explained U.S. economic growth over the past decade (R² = 0). Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Inequality – Percent of Total Investment Assets Held by Wealth Distribution The U.S. economy is not the stock market. The top 10% of American households own 84% of all stocks, and the bottom 90% own…
U.S. Business Cycle – Months of Growth vs. Months of Recession This chart puts into perspective the U.S. business cycle and the length of recessions. Image: BofA Global Research
Number of Trading Days in a Bear Market (MSCI World Index) Stimulus and extremely low interest rates have moved global equities higher over past decade. Image: Financial Times
S&P 500 Return: Earnings Growth vs. Multiple Expansion Multiple expansion explains the S&P 500’s impressive total return of 31.49% in 2019, despite muted earnings. Image: Strategas