A Weaker U.S. Dollar in 2020?

A Weaker U.S. Dollar in 2020? This chart suggests that the U.S. dollar could decline this year, as long as the Fed keeps pumping money into the banking system. Image: Fidelity Investments

S&P 500 and Past Global Recoveries

S&P 500 and Past Global Recoveries This chart compares the S&P 500’s recent rally with past global recoveries. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

China-US Trade as % of Chinese GDP

China-US Trade as % of Chinese GDP The downtrend in China-US trade will be hard to reverse, even with the “phase one” trade deal. Image: Financial Times

Chicago Fed National Activity Index and Recessions

Chicago Fed National Activity Index and Recessions The Chicago Fed National Activity Index fall to -0.35 in December, and stayed at a negative reading. Anything negative is below-average growth. In recent history, anything at or below -0.7…

Earnings vs. Valuation

Earnings vs. Valuation Chart suggesting that changes in the P/E tend to mirror changes in earnings. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Real GDP Leading Indicator

U.S. Real GDP Leading Indicator The U.S. real GDP leading indicator suggests an improvement in the second half of 2020 (R² = 0.74). Image: KKR Global Macro