MSCI World Performance vs. U.S. Dollar Index The link between the US dollar and global equities is often decisive. A softer dollar usually lifts stock markets worldwide, while a firmer one tends to weigh them…
Risky vs. Safe Assets Fund Flows A tilt toward safe assets shows investors growing wary of market risk and intent on protecting capital. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bloomberg’s Global 60/40 Equity/Fixed Income Portfolio The global 60/40 portfolio has hit a record high, showing fresh momentum and reaffirming its role as a cornerstone for investors seeking balance and steady long-term gains. Image: Deutsche…
S&P 500 Returns When January Is Up Between 0-2% The bulls have history on their side: when the S&P 500 gains between 0% and 2% in January, the next 11 months have gone higher 92%…
ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index U.S. factory activity jumped back to life in January, with the ISM Manufacturing Index hitting 52.6 and easily topping forecasts for 48.5. The chart shows the correlation between…
Sectors Positioning (High Frequency) Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech has eased to neutral, while the rotation into cyclicals shows no sign of slowing. Broad positioning in cyclicals now sits modestly overweight. Image: Deutsche Bank…
Gold Price vs. S&P 500 Gold has recently surpassed $5,000 per ounce, but it still looks cheap next to a balanced 50/50 portfolio of U.S. stocks and Treasuries. Image: Bloomberg
Returns for Major Global Financial Assets Markets kicked off the year with solid gains in January, lifted by upbeat economic data that kept investors piling into risk assets. The S&P 500 briefly topped 7,000 for…
U.S. and Global Economic Surprises Global economic surprises have surged to a two‑year high, with the U.S. gaining momentum, a mix that usually bodes well for stocks and credit in the near term. Image: Societe…
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs still expects the S&P 500 to rise 12% this year, hitting 7,600 on the back of steady growth, resilient earnings, and a productivity boost from AI. But…
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns February’s returns may be flat, but the ride rarely is, making it one of the market’s more unpredictable stretches for U.S. stocks. Image: Carson Investment Research