Globalization – Economic Growth Between Economies
Globalization – Economic Growth Between Economies Is globalization in reverse? This chart puts things into perspective. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Globalization – Economic Growth Between Economies Is globalization in reverse? This chart puts things into perspective. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Global Real GDP Growth It may take a few quarters for the financial system to feel the effects of the monetary easing measures implemented by central banks this year. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Share of Total U.S. Equity Trading Are stock pickers an endangered species? Only one-tenth of the US equity market’s trading volumes comes from fundamental equity investors. Image: Financial Times
S&P 500 and Mini-Cycles Chart suggesting that market participants have started to take into account the start of a fourth mini-cycle. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research
Debt to Net Worth Ratio for U.S. Households vs. Financial Obligations Ratio Chart suggesting that U.S. household finances are in good shape. This is good news for consumption spending, which accounts for about 70% of…
ISM Manufacturing PMI and Nonfarm Payroll Growth vs. U.S. Election Outcome Chart showing the relationship between growth trends into U.S. elections and the margin of victory or defeat for incumbent candidates. Historically, the probability of…
U.S. Dollar – Trade-Weighted Real Exchange Rates Chart suggesting that the U.S. dollar looks overvalued against euro and sterling. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
A Long-Term History of Debt and Inflation in the U.S. This chart puts debt and inflation in perspective. MMT could lead to high inflation and financial repression, as in the 1940s. Image: Fidelity Investments
S&P 500 and Large-Cap Funds Outperformance Over Benchmarks Only 28% of large-cap funds are outperforming their benchmarks this year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Growth Outlook (Global GDP) Goldman Sachs is optimistic and expects global growth to rise to 3.4% in 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Equity Market Outperformance According to Gavekal, U.S. outperformance is mainly cyclical, not structural, and best investment opportunities could be in non-US assets. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond