NFIB Small Business Confidence Index In December 2024, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index soared to 105.1, a six-year high, as small business owners’ confidence surged following the recent election and expectations of pro-business policies.…
S&P 500 Earnings and Gross Buybacks With U.S. corporate earnings on the rise, share buybacks in 2025 are expected to exceed $1 trillion. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Wall Street’s optimism is so high that even gravity seems bullish. As a result, bears are experiencing altitude sickness from the market’s rapid rise! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Average Probability S&P 500 Volatility Regime The probability of a high S&P 500 volatility regime has increased, suggesting that elevated volatility could persist throughout 2025. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – Price-to-Forward Earnings Ratios The U.S. stock market maintains a premium valuation compared to global markets, with the exception of India, leaving little room for error as it’s priced for perfection. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Equity Sectoral and Regional ETF Flows Materials, energy and healthcare ETFs are still experiencing notable outflows, leading to a decrease in investor interest. Image: J.P. Morgan
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With Bitcoin surpassing $100,000, bulls are so long on Bitcoin, they’re flying to the moon and beyond, leaving bears in despair! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Nasdaq 100 – Consecutive Trading Sessions Above 200-Day Moving Average The Nasdaq 100 has been trading above its 200-day moving average for 467 consecutive sessions, indicating a strong bullish trend that reflects sustained investor confidence…
Fed Funds Futures Markets are still pricing in Fed rate cuts for 2025, but expectations have been scaled back due to persistent inflation concerns. Image: Deutsche Bank
Market Sentiment Indicator Morgan Stanley’s market sentiment indicator has recently turned positive, signaling a shift towards a risk-on appetite after maintaining a neutral stance. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Stocks – GRANOLAS vs. Magnificence Seven Driven by remarkable growth in the technology and AI sectors, the performance gap between the Magnificent Seven and the GRANOLAS has widened significantly since the start of 2024. Image:…