Category: Blog

Weekly High Yield Fund Flows Over the past week, U.S. high-yield funds experienced their largest outflow in nine weeks, signaling a shift in investor sentiment towards lower-risk assets. Image: BofA Global Research

Flows to Japan Equities While Japanese equities have faced significant outflows recently due to shifting investor sentiment, underlying structural reforms and an evolving economic landscape may provide opportunities for recovery in the future. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Core CPI Inflation In September, U.S. core CPI inflation showed a modest increase of 0.312% month-over-month, indicating that inflation pressures are not significantly escalating. Image: Nomura

China GDP Growth Consensus Estimates GDP upgrades are likely to spur interest in China’s markets, encouraging asset allocation towards sectors that align with the country’s economic transformation. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Performance – U.S. Small Cap Stocks vs. Large Cap Stocks Small caps continue to face significant challenges relative to large caps, a trend that has persisted for several years. However, there is a growing sense of cautious optimism about their potential recovery as market conditions change. Image: BofA Global Research

VIX Index and S&P 500 Realized Volatility The spread between the VIX and the S&P 10-day realized volatility, when in the 98th percentile, may signal a potential opportunity for U.S. stocks to rally towards the end of the year. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI The U.S. ISM manufacturing index reading below 50 signals a contraction in manufacturing activity, which may impact payroll numbers. However, the relationship between the index and actual payroll figures is not straightforward. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

MSCI World Fwd PE and EPS Revisions Downward revisions in global EPS raise concerns, suggesting that the global economic landscape is precarious, prompting central banks to adopt more aggressive strategies to stimulate growth. Image: J.P. Morgan

GWIM Debt Holdings as % of AUM Bank of America’s private clients maintain a low debt allocation of 20%, which remains significantly below the average level. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

S&P 500 Historical FY2 EPS Revisions vs. Consensus EPS Recent downward revisions in S&P 500 EPS estimates for 2024-25 reflect a cautious approach from analysts, primarily driven by economic uncertainties. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

Spread Between BBB-Rated Corporate Bond Yield and 90-Day U.S. Treasury Bill Yield The recent increase in the spread between IG credit yield and cash yield marks a significant shift from a 43-year low. Should investors favor U.S. Treasury bills over IG bonds? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy