S&P 500 Performance (May – October) Broken Down by Presidential Cycle Sell in May and go away? Since 1950, the S&P 500 has shown an average return of 2.3% during the period from May through October in election years, making it an attractive period for investors. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 and Leveraged Long vs. Short ETF Volumes The degree of activity in leveraged long vs. short U.S. equity ETFs has experienced a substantial decline as sentiment shifts. Image: Topdown Charts
Median S&P 500 Performance Since 2000, the median S&P 500 performance after 6 consecutive declines has been 8.9% over the next 6 months, indicating a potential for a significant rebound and recovery in the stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. Nominal GDP The strength of U.S. nominal GDP has been crucially supported by fiscal and monetary policies, along with other contributing factors. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Economy A recent Deutsche Bank survey found that 45% of participants predict a “no-landing” scenario for the U.S. economy by the end of 2024. This suggests no recession and inflation will remain above the Fed’s 2% target. Image: Deutsche Bank
Russell 2000 Forward P/E vs. Subsequent 10-Year Annualized Returns Should long-term investors increase their allocation to U.S. small-cap stocks, given the potential for 9% annualized ten-year returns suggested by the absolute forward P/E for the Russell 2000? Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Bitcoin vs. Gold Bitcoin’s current price shares similarities with the price of gold in the 1970s. Image: Alpine Macro
S&P 500 and the Percentage of Stocks Above 10-Day MAs The rise in the percentage of S&P 500 stocks above their 10-day moving averages can be interpreted as a tactical bullish divergence, providing valuable insights into market strength and the potential for a reversal. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. CPI Inflation The BofA Credit Manager Survey indicates that 50% of respondents expect balanced U.S. inflation risks for the remainder of 2024, which can have implications for investment and risk management strategies in the coming months. Image: BofA US Creditor Investor Survey
High-Yield Bonds vs. 200-Day Moving Average In search of higher returns, investors have been pursuing riskier investments through high yield bonds. While this strategy can be rewarding, it also exposes them to increased vulnerability if market conditions worsen. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
FMS Investors – Net % Expecting Lower Long-Term Rates Only 38% of FMS investors expect bond yields to decrease, while the majority anticipate stable or potentially higher bond yields. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey