Category: Blog

U.S. Household Wealth Stock market gains over the past six years have boosted U.S. household wealth and powered consumer spending, while also heightening vulnerability if markets fall. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 Returns During The Santa Claus Rally The Santa Claus Rally is the market’s year-end sweet spot, with U.S. stocks historically rising over the last five trading days of December and the first two of January. Since 1950, it has never posted losses three years in a row. Image: Carson Investment Research

2026 Equity Forecasts Goldman Sachs anticipates upside potential for global equities in 2026 amid a multipolar economic environment, while projecting modest underperformance for U.S. markets relative to international peers. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

EPS – GS Top-Down vs. Consensus Bottom-Up Estimates Goldman Sachs sees S&P 500 EPS rising 12% in 2026 and 10% in 2027, driven by a resilient U.S. economy, a weaker dollar, strong mega-cap tech earnings, and AI-related productivity gains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Survey – Biggest Risks to Market Stability in 2026 A rare consensus is emerging among investors on what could shake markets in 2026. Deutsche Bank’s latest survey finds AI and tech bubble jitters leading the pack, overshadowing concerns about Fed autonomy and private credit stress. Click the Image to Enlarge

Margin Debt as Percentage of Real Disposal Personal Income Margin debt has climbed to a record share of real disposable income. With incomes barely growing and borrowing piling up, investors look increasingly exposed. Markets may look calm, but the cracks show fast when they shift. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. Tech and S&P 500 – 1-Year Total Return Performance to Peak Past market bubbles often ended with explosive last-year rallies, far outpacing normal bull market returns. That kind of blow-off surge just isn’t happening in U.S. tech or the S&P 500 right now. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Rolling 9-Week Flows into U.S. Equity ETFs and Mutual Funds Investors keep buying the dip, pouring nearly $100 billion into U.S. equity mutual funds and ETFs over the past nine weeks, convinced the bull market still has room to run. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration $7.1 trillion in options notional value is set to expire today, marking the largest expiration on record and setting the stage for fresh market volatility. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Survey – Where Do You Expect 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields to Be One Year from Now? Deutsche Bank’s latest survey shows that 52% of participants expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise above 4.25% next year, with the bank’s strategists calling for 4.45% by the end of 2026. Image: Deutsche Bank

Global Liquidity and MSCI EM Global liquidity rebounds have historically supported emerging market equities by boosting capital inflows, growth, and asset prices. Image: J.P. Morgan