Equities – U.S. Large-Cap Stock Equal Weight/Market-Cap Weight Ratio Historically, when the equal-weighted index reverses and outperforms like today, it tends to be a good time to buy stocks. Image: Bloomberg
Government Bond Yield Forecast Morgan Stanley forecasts the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield at 1.45% by the end of 2021. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Valuation – Dividend Yield and U.S. 10-Year Yield The gap between dividend yields and bond yields is back to the levels last seen in the 1950s. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Prediction Market Probability that Democrats Have Control Following the 2020 U.S. Election The prediction market probability of the Democrats taking control of the Senate has increased to 32%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
World Small Caps/Large Caps and U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Will small-caps continue outperform large-caps? Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Inflation and Real Total Returns – S&P 500, 60/40 Portofolio and U.S. 10-Year Bonds Historically, equities have generated the highest annualized returns in periods when inflation is below 1% and rising. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate Recoveries Since 1948 The U.S. unemployment rate recovery is following a path unlike any recession since 1948. Image: Nomura
MSCI World Index with China Exposure vs. MSCI World Index Investors have noticed that China emerged from recession months ago. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Weekly Flows into U.S. Funds Buying Inflation-Protected Securities Investors demand for inflation-protected securities is on the rise as economic optimism surges. Image: Financial Times
Performance vs. S&P 500 MSCI Emerging Market Equity Index and Copper The rebound in copper prices could suggest strong emerging market performance. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Returns – What Happens After 10% Monthly Gains? Historically, after 10% monthly gains, the S&P 500 tends to be positive over 6 and 12 months. Image: LPL Research