Market Capitalization of the Largest Stock Relative to the 75th Percentile Stock The U.S. equity market is experiencing historically high levels of concentration, primarily driven by the dominance of a small group of mega-cap tech companies. This concentration is at levels not seen in nearly a century. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISM Composite Index vs. Recessions While indicating slower growth, the economically weighted ISM composite index still points to expansionary conditions in the U.S. economy, without signaling an impending recession. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Corrections and Bear Markets Market corrections don’t always lead to bear markets. In fact, historical data shows that only 13 of the past 39 corrections transitioned into bear markets, giving bulls reason to smile! Image: Carson Investment Research
Number of Calendar Days the Correction Lasted for the S&P 500 S&P 500 corrections have varied significantly since 1928. The average correction lasts 185 days, with a median of 52 days. Interestingly, in 10 of 60 instances, the S&P 500 was in correction territory for just one day. Image: Deutsche Bank
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day While bears are crucial for balancing the market, let’s face it: they’re secretly green with envy when bulls are having all the fun during a rally! Happy Friday, Everyone! 😎
U.S. Equity Flows The S&P 500’s correction has not only affected market performance but also altered individual investors’ behavior, with many refraining from “buying the dip” due to increased caution amid economic and market uncertainties. Image: CNBC
Historical S&P 500 Returns Based on GDP Growth and Real Rates Can investors expect a +8% total return for the S&P 500 this year? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Number of Days from 52 Week High of S&P 500 to Correction (-10%) Level The current market correction stands out for its swift onset. Among 60 corrections since 1928, this one ranks as the 11th fastest to occur from market highs, leading to abrupt shifts in market sentiment. Image: Deutsche Bank
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day As the Fed leaves rates unchanged and tariff concerns persist, bulls are navigating markets like a plane battling turbulent skies—holding firm and hoping for a break in the storm! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Tariffs Impact on YoY U.S. GDP Growth Goldman Sachs forecasts that tariffs will reduce U.S. GDP growth by approximately 0.8 percentage points over the next year, with tax cuts and regulatory easing only offsetting 0.1 to 0.2 percentage points of this decline. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Quarterly EPS Consensus earnings estimates have been reduced more than usual for first quarters, primarily due to the direct impacts of a stronger dollar and tariffs, rather than a broad economic slowdown. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation