Historical EPS Declines during Recession and Historical EPS Rebounds following Recession Historically, S&P 500 EPS fall by 13% from peak to trough and rebound by 15% in the four quarters following recession. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Gold Prices during U.S. Recessions Historically, gold prices have performed fairly well on average during U.S. recessions. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Stock Market Performance When Market Fell > 8% in 6 Consecutive Losing Sessions This chart shows the U.S. stock market performance since 1948, when the market fell more than 8% in 6 consecutive losing sessions, with PMI > 50 and PMI < 50. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
Global Real GDP Growth According to Morgan Stanley, the recovery is just being delayed and the second scenario appears the most likely: escalation and more disruption in the second quarter, and the virus peaks in May. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
China Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs expects that China’s real GDP growth will recover sharply following the 1Q contraction. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Time Taken for S&P 500 to Correct 10% from Peak The correction over the past six trading sessions is the fastest 10% decline in the S&P500 from a record high. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Annual S&P 500 EPS Growth Goldman Sachs expects no earnings growth this year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Market Corrections since World War II Since World War II, the 26 corrections have an average decline of 13.7% over four months, and have taken four months to recover. Image: CNBC
Valuation – U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Fair Value Chart suggesting that U.S. 10-year Treasuries are extremely overvalued. Image: BCA Research
2020 Global GDP Growth Forecasts BofA cuts global growth to 2.8% in 2020. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 10% Declines in 5 Days Declines of 10% in 5 days do not happen often. Image: Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC