Correlation Between U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Regional Indexes This chart shows the quite good correlation between the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and regional indexes (Philly Fed, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, and NY Empire). Image: Saxo Bank
U.S. Real GDP and Components of GDP In Q2 2019, U.S. GDP was 68% personal consumption. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Historical Mean The historical mean of the ISM Manufacturing Index stands at 52.9. Image: Saxo Bank Research & Strategy
U.S. Election Years Volatility U.S. election years are on average similarly volatile, but 2020 could be different. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch
Conference Board CEO Business Confidence – Expectations for Economy 6 Months Ahead CEOs in the U.S. remain pessimistic about economic conditions. Outside of U.S. recession, CEO confidence has never been so low. Image: Pictet Asset Management
Drawdowns in S&P 500 vs. ISM Surveys Interesting chart showing drawdowns in S&P 500 versus ISM surveys. Weakness in the manufacturing and service sectors matters. Image: Sampension
Currency Impact on International Returns (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S.) Chart showing the currency impact on the MSCI All Country World ex-U.S. Index. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Cumulative Flows into U.S. Domiciled Mutual Funds and ETFs Are money-market funds flows a contrarian indicator? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Quarterly Performance by Presidential Cycle Chart showing the breakdown of the S&P 500 quarterly performance by presidential cycle since 1950. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Minus ISM Manufacturing Index and Real U.S. Dollar Index This chart suggests that a strong dollar hurts U.S. manufacturers. Image: Oxford Economics
NFIB – U.S. Small Business Economics Trends U.S. small business economy and hiring plans remain strong. Image: BCA Research