Periods of S&P 500 Correction Above 10% Due to the U.S. stock market’s dominant position, a correction exceeding 10% frequently triggers a domino effect across global equity markets, as investors react to heightened uncertainty and risk aversion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After Enters a 10% Correction, But Doesn’t Go into a Bear Market Historically, when the S&P 500 falls 10% without entering a bear market, it’s a potential buying opportunity. Since 1950, it has always been higher 6 and 12 months later, with a median 12-month return of 15.2%. Image: Carson Investment Research
How Often Does a Correction Turn into a Bear Market? Historically, a 10% correction rarely leads to a 20% bear market without economic downturns, earnings declines, or rate hikes. With no very serious adverse indicators currently, a bear market seems unlikely in the near term. Image: Carson Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day As U.S. stocks tumble, bears are writing eulogies for the market. Bulls, on the other hand, are buying the dip like there’s no tomorrow, which is ironically what bears foresee! Happy Friday, Everyone! 😎
Average Year for the S&P 500 the Past 20 Years Bulls have reason to smile, as March 12 has marked notable market bottoms for U.S. stocks over the past two decades, and from that point, things tend to improve significantly. “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” Image: Carson Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day February’s CPI inflation drops to 2.8%, beating the 2.9% forecast. On CPI days, bulls are like kids in a candy store, while bears sit in the corner, sulking like they forgot their party hats! Happy Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Inflation – U.S. 10-Year Breakeven Rate The declining U.S. 10-year breakeven inflation rate indicates that market participants expect inflation to moderate, aligning with the Fed’s 2% long-term target. Image: The Daily Shot
The Worst Day of the Year for the S&P 500 When It Gains >20% for the Year Monday saw the S&P 500 drop 2.7%, its worst day this year. Even in years with strong returns over 20%, single-day losses average 3.5% since 1950. Sharp daily declines are often part of significant annual gains. Image: Carson…
Annual U.S. Payroll Employment Growth in the Month Before Each Post-War Recession The recent slowdown in U.S. job creation is concerning, as it nears levels typically seen before economic downturns. Image: Paulsen Perspectives
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Wall Street bears believe every bull market is just a bear market in disguise. When the crash comes, they can’t resist saying, “We knew it all along!” Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 🐫🐪😎
S&P 500 Market Capitalization vs. U.S. GDP The wealth creation in the U.S. stock market has significantly outpaced the broader economy, leading to increased sensitivity of consumer spending to equity moves. Image: Bloomberg