Median S&P 500 Performance Around Drawdowns Close to or Larger than 20% Since 1950 In the absence of recession, short-lived market drawdowns are often followed by strong recoveries, offering attractive returns to investors who stay the course rather than selling in panic. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index and 200-Day Moving Average Regaining the 200-day moving average is a constructive technical signal for the S&P 500 index, as forward returns tend to be positive more often than not. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Performance After >58% of Components Make a New 20-Day High More good news for bulls: Since 1976, the S&P 500 has gained an average of 18.7% in the 12 months after more than 58% of its components hit a 20-day high, with positive returns every single time. Image: Carson Investment Research
U.S. vs. Non-U.S. Equity and U.S. vs. Europe Equity and Real Trade-Weighted US Dollar Index The start of 2025 marks a significant pause-and possible reversal-in U.S. equity exceptionalism. Whether this is a temporary pause or a fundamental shift remains to be seen, but the landscape for global investors has changed. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
Equity Fund Flows U.S. vs. Rest of the World Over the past four weeks, U.S. equity funds have experienced substantial outflows, while equity funds in other regions have recorded inflows, indicating a shift in global investor sentiment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Consensus EPS Growth Estimate Following the initial Magnificent Seven earnings report on April 22, analysts revised full-year earnings estimates upward by 1.8% for the Magnificent Seven, but downward by 0.8% for the other 493 companies in the S&P 500. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
S&P 500 Performance After >55% of Components Make a 20-Day High There’s good news for bulls: since 1970, the S&P 500 has gained an average of 16.3% in the 12 months after more than 55% of its components hit a 20-day high, with positive returns occurring 96.7% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
Average S&P 500 Performance Around Drawdowns Close to or Larger than 20% Since 1950 U.S. equities have experienced one of the sharpest drawdowns in the past 75 years. Historically, such sharp declines are often followed by strong recoveries. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Price Target Goldman Sachs has raised its S&P 500 target to 5,900 over the next three months, citing lower tariff rates and reduced recession risks following a significant easing in U.S.-China trade tensions. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 10% Drop in 2 Days While a 10% drop in the S&P 500 in just two days is both rare and alarming, historical trends reveal that sharp sell-offs are frequently followed by robust recoveries-providing investors with a reason to stay optimistic. Image: Carson Investment Research
Earnings – S&P 500 Consensus EPS Revision The 2025 EPS revision trend follows historical patterns. With high initial estimates and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, investors should stay alert for possible further downward adjustments. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research