S&P 500 and U.S. Economic Surprises

S&P 500 and U.S. Economic Surprises This chart shows the current divergence between the S&P 500 YoY and the 12-month moving average of the U.S. economic surprise index. Image: Oxford Economics and Macrobond

Distribution of Forward Returns by 200MA Slope

Distribution of Forward Returns by 200MA Slope This great chart shows the distribution of forward returns when the slope of S&P 500’s 200-day moving average is lower, flat or higher. Image: Ritholtz Wealth Management

One of the Best Indicators to Monitor for Signs a U.S. Recession Is Coming

One of the Best Indicators to Monitor for Signs a U.S. Recession Is Coming The probability of being unemployed in a given month in the United States, by dividing the average initial claims for unemployment insurance by the total number of people working, is one of the best indicators to monitor for signs a U.S.…

S&P 500 Death Cross

S&P 500 Death Cross The Death Cross in the S&P 500 is seen as a lagging indicator and doesn’t always signal further losses. Often, it marks a reversal, with the index frequently delivering above-average returns in the months and year that follow. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 Daily Chart

S&P 500 Daily Chart The cup and handle breakout suggests a bullish trend, implying that the S&P 500 index could experience upward movement, with target levels of 5930 and 6180. Image: BofA Global Research