Growth Has Outperformed Value Since 2015
Growth Has Outperformed Value Since 2015 Is is time for value stocks to shine? Actually, tech stocks contribute to widening the gap between growth and value. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute
Growth Has Outperformed Value Since 2015 Is is time for value stocks to shine? Actually, tech stocks contribute to widening the gap between growth and value. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute
Stock Market Forecasting Models vs. US Stock Market – Growth of $1,000 As an example, the chart shows the growth of $1,000 since 1970, between the stock market forecasting models and the US stock market (compound return before taxes, fees and transactions costs – unleveraged, simulated long & short trades – quarterly basis & logarithmic…
The Stock Market Continues to Climb the Wall of Worry There is always a good reason not to invest in the stock market, but you may miss a significant portion of your capital growth. Image: Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Europe’s Stocks Are Really Unloved Europe’s benchmark has lagged other major ones in recent years. But on the positive side: the valuation is low, Europe will not disintegrate, the rotation from bonds to equities has not yet begun, and there is a fairly good growth in 2019. Image: Bloomberg
Global Equity Valuations The market environment favors global ex-U.S., small-cap, and value stocks for their cheap valuations and growth potential, while U.S., large-cap, and growth stocks face valuation headwinds and higher downside risk. Image: Topdown Charts
DXY U.S. Dollar Index vs. Nasdaq Composite / MSCI World Value Over the past two years, U.S. growth stocks—known for their sensitivity to currency fluctuations—have exhibited a strong correlation with the U.S. dollar. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
CAPE Valuations vs. 10-Year U.S. Interest Rates Rising interest rates often have a significant impact on equity market valuations, frequently causing valuation reversals, especially for growth stocks and companies with high valuations based on future earnings expectations. Image: Real Investment Advice
Equity Sector Returns While large-cap growth stocks, particularly those in the Magnificent 7, performed strongly in 2024, there was also a significant shift toward value sectors throughout the year, reflecting broader economic resilience. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
U.S. Earnings to Price – Top vs. Bottom Decile (10-Year Annual Compounded Return) When will value stocks outperform growth stocks again? Image: Real Investment Advice
Performance – Russell 2000 Relative to Nasdaq 100 vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Will small-cap stocks continue to outperform large-cap growth stocks, if the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield continues to rise? Image: Lohman Econometrics
Median PE Valuation on Global Factor Portfolio Historically, when value vs. growth valuation was this high, value stocks tended to outperform growth stocks. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research