Federal Funds Target Rate

Federal Funds Target Rate The Federal Reserve has historically made decisions independent of the election cycle, as the Fed’s decisions are primarily driven by economic indicators and the dual mandate. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast

U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast According to Deutsche Bank, a mild recession in the United States may result in a modestly higher unemployment rate than what is anticipated by both consensus and the Federal Reserve. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. M2 to Nominal GDP Ratio

U.S. M2 to Nominal GDP Ratio The U.S. M2 to nominal GDP ratio has returned to the long-term trend line, which can be seen as a positive development. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Flexible and Sticky Inflation

Flexible and Sticky Inflation Flexible inflation (core goods) has fallen significantly and sticky inflation (core services) is still declining, which is good news as it suggests a moderation in the inflation rate. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

New York Fed GDP Nowcast

New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed’s GDP Nowcast stands at 3.79% for 2021:Q3. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Click the Image to Enlarge

Inflation – TIPS and Equity Sector Fund Flows

Inflation – TIPS and Equity Sector Fund Flows Strong fund inflows into TIPS, materials, energy and financials. Will the Federal Reserve let the U.S. economy run hot? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart

U.S. Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart The U.S. labor market distributions spider chart shows broad labor market developments. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

U.S. Household Debt and Credit

U.S. Household Debt and Credit Aggregate household debt balances declined by $34bn and stand at $14.27tn. This is the first decline since 2014. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Breakeven Prices for Existing U.S. Oil Wells

Breakeven Prices for Existing U.S. Oil Wells Breakeven prices for existing U.S. oil wells highlights that the current WTI oil price is too low for oil companies to make a decent return. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Energy Survey