Truck Tonnage vs. S&P 500 Index The Truck Tonnage Index rose 0.4% in January. Trucks represent 72.7% of U.S. freight and serve as a barometer of the U.S. economy. This chart shows that, historically, the U.S. stock market has tended to increase in line with the physical size and expansion of the U.S. economy (R²…
Cross Asset Flows as a % of Assets Money market funds continue to attract strong investor interest, providing safe and profitable short-term opportunities in the current high-interest-rate environment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Three-Month 90/110 Implied Volatility Signs of stability are emerging in the S&P 500 Index after the sharp correction, as traders abandon bets on further significant declines, reflecting growing confidence in the market. Image: Bloomberg
Long History of U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Despite expectations of rate cuts, U.S. interest rates could move in either direction, depending on inflation and Fed decisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Click the Image to Enlarge
U.S. Recessions – 6-Month Fed Funds Minus Current Fed Funds Rate Historically, U.S. recessions have often followed periods of bearish short-term interest rates, particularly when the Fed cuts rates in response to economic downturns or signs of slowing growth. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
S&P 500 Stock Splits – Median Relative Performance vs. Sector While stock splits do not inherently change a company’s value, the increased investor interest they generate often leads to short and medium-term outperformance relative to the sector. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
10-Year Treasury Non-Commercial Net Positioning and Market Yield on U.S. Treasury at 10-Year Constant Maturity Given the high level of short positions in 10-year U.S. Treasuries, some investors may find it advantageous to increase the duration of their bond portfolio in a scenario of falling interest rates. Image: Real Investment Advice
Dow New All-Time Highs Per President Interesting chart showing that Dow new all-time highs have varied significantly under each president. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC Click the Image to Enlarge
World Population in 2018 Interesting world map: the country’s size represents the size of the population. You may also like “World Population & Demographics – More People Over 65 than Under 5 for the First Time.” Image: Our World in Data Click the Image to Enlarge
New York Fed Probability of Recession in Next 12 Months since 1990 When an inverted yield curve occurs, short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates. It suggests that the long-term economic outlookis poor and that the yields offered by long-term fixed income securities will continue to decline. Since 1962, no recession has occurred without an inverted…
Yield Curve Inversion, How Long Until The Recession? In recent history, once the 10-Year minus 3-Month Treasury yield spread is negative and hits 10 consecutive days, it persists for weeks/months. When an inverted yield curve occurs, short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates. It suggests that the long-term economic outlook is poor and that the yields offered…