More than 200 Years of U.S. Interest Rates in One Chart This long term chart covers more than two centuries of US interest rates (yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Click the Image to Enlarge
S&P 500 – Quantity-On-Loan on the SPY U.S. ETF This short interest proxy on SPY US ETF has increased significantly since the FOMC meeting. Image: J.P. Morgan
Truck Tonnage vs. S&P 500 Index The Truck Tonnage Index decreased by 0.1% in May. Trucks represent 72.7% of U.S. freight and serve as a barometer of the U.S. economy. This chart shows that, historically, the U.S. stock market tends to increase in line with the physical size and expansion of the U.S. economy (R²…
U.S. ETF and Mutual Fund Flows Investors are exhibiting a strong and sustained appetite for U.S. money market funds, driven by ongoing market volatility and persistently high short-term interest rates. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Three-Month 90/110 Implied Volatility Signs of stability are emerging in the S&P 500 Index after the sharp correction, as traders abandon bets on further significant declines, reflecting growing confidence in the market. Image: Bloomberg
Cross Asset Flows as a % of Assets Money market funds continue to attract strong investor interest, as they offer safe and profitable short-term opportunities in the current high-interest-rate environment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Long History of U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Despite expectations of rate cuts, U.S. interest rates could move in either direction, depending on inflation and Fed decisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Click the Image to Enlarge
U.S. Recessions – 6-Month Fed Funds Minus Current Fed Funds Rate Historically, U.S. recessions have often followed periods of bearish short-term interest rates, particularly when the Fed cuts rates in response to economic downturns or signs of slowing growth. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
S&P 500 Stock Splits – Median Relative Performance vs. Sector While stock splits do not inherently change a company’s value, the increased investor interest they generate often leads to short and medium-term outperformance relative to the sector. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
10-Year Treasury Non-Commercial Net Positioning and Market Yield on U.S. Treasury at 10-Year Constant Maturity Given the high level of short positions in 10-year U.S. Treasuries, some investors may find it advantageous to increase the duration of their bond portfolio in a scenario of falling interest rates. Image: Real Investment Advice
Dow New All-Time Highs Per President Interesting chart showing that Dow new all-time highs have varied significantly under each president. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC Click the Image to Enlarge