Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -3.89% YoY in December. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary…
Global Stocks – MSCI AC World Local Index Citigroup strategists are betting on a 10% rise in global equities this year, backed by a gentle economic slowdown, stronger earnings forecasts, and fresh AI tailwinds. Image:…
U.S. M2 Money Creation by Year All signs point to a 2026 liquidity wave: bigger money funds, solid bank credit, and $40 billion a month from the Fed in T‑bill buys. That could juice reserves, pump…
U.S. Corporate Profits as % of Real GDP U.S. corporate profits are running far ahead of real economy growth, reaching the widest gap on record. History shows that such divergences rarely last once markets face…
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth Wall Street’s outlook for 2026 is bright, with analysts eyeing a 15% rise in S&P 500 earnings. While forecasts sound promising, markets often have surprises in store. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total What was once a mirror of the market has become a magnifying glass. Ten mega-caps now make up over…
Hyperscaler Quarterly Capex Growth Hyperscalers may soon hit the brakes on capital spending, potentially hurting valuations. But in doing so, they risk ceding ground in the AI race, where fierce competition and tight supply chains…
U.S. Real Retail Sales and Recession U.S. real retail sales stand at 0.6% YoY. About 70% of U.S. GDP is personal consumption. In the past, U.S. real retail sales trended sideways before the recession began.
Magnificent Seven Stocks – Projected Gain or Decline Over the Next 12 Months Analysts expect the Magnificent 7 to remain the main engine of S&P 500 earnings growth in 2026, with forecasts calling for solid…
U.S. Payrolls and Recessions U.S. payroll growth rarely dips this low without a recession. It slowed sharply in late 2025, but analysts expect a rebound this year as productivity gains, Fed rate cuts, and fiscal…
S&P 500 – U.S. Stock Returns Over the Past 22 Presidents Nearly a year into Trump’s presidency, the S&P 500 has surged more than 16%, shaking off tariff headwinds. Bulls are smiling, betting on robust…