Average S&P 500 Stock Earnings Day Move Options markets are pricing in an average move of 5.4% for S&P 500 stocks after earnings reports this quarter. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Large Cap Sector Positioning MCG & Tech positioning has started to cool, but the trade remains crowded compared with the rest of the market. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500’s Average Annualized Return over the Next 10 Years, by Starting CAPE High starting valuations have often meant leaner returns. When the CAPE ratio was above 30, stocks gained just 1.4% a year on…

Pullbacks and Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle Since 1950, the S&P 500 has fallen an average of 17.5% during midterm years, the deepest…

S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium Investors have little room for error. With the equity risk premium at its lowest level in more than two decades, U.S. stocks offer less reward for the risks investors take.…

Global Sector Fund Flows Over the past year, investors have poured into tech funds as AI euphoria, surging chip stocks and rising earnings forecasts strengthened the bull case. How much longer can the momentum last?…

Sentiment – Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance U.S. equity fund managers are taking on more risk again after September’s decline, but they remain cautious about near-term returns, with rates, fiscal policy and…

S&P 500 Company Guidance vs. Consensus Growth Expectations The S&P 500 is on track for another quarter of solid earnings growth, led by tech. This quarter, growth is expected to spread to other sectors, too.…

Oil Prices Forecasts Oil prices eased in Q3 but remain high. For S&P 500 companies, the earnings hit is usually modest, as they pass on higher costs and cut spending. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Performance 1-Year After Midterm Elections Midterm elections have been a reliable tailwind for stocks: the S&P 500 has risen over the following year every time since 1950, averaging a 14.8% gain. No doubt,…

S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth S&P 500 earnings are expected to grow 34% year over year in Q3, a pace more typical of the early stages of an economic recovery. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation