S&P 500 – Corrections vs. Bear Markets The S&P 500 now stands roughly 83% above its long-term trend, with the Shiller CAPE close to 42. Even a 20% selloff would fall short of signaling a…

Stocks – Dow Jones with Major Geopolitical Events Major geopolitical events can rattle markets, but U.S. equities have repeatedly bounced back and pushed higher as investors refocus beyond the headlines, rewarding those who stay patient.…

Estimated S&P 500 EPS and Y/Y Growth Goldman Sachs is betting the earnings strength has legs, forecasting S&P 500 EPS growth of 24% in 2026 to $340, followed by 13% in 2027 to $385. If…

Indexed Market Cap and Consensus Fwd 12m EPS Estimates for S&P 500 Companies Earnings momentum is driving the AI infrastructure complex’s outperformance so far this year, with capital flowing to names that are already translating…

Weight of Top 10 Positions in Median Hedge Fund Long Portfolio Hedge fund portfolio density is now at 72% and holding firm, with greater concentration in top 10 positions. Such concentration leaves markets vulnerable to…

Annual U.S. Equity Issuance as % of Russell 3000 Market Cap “$600 billion in U.S. equity issuance in 2026” grabs attention and feeds the doom narrative. But relative to the total value of U.S. equities,…

New S&P 500 Index All-Time Highs Per Year The S&P 500 has now reached 19 record highs this year. In strong bull markets, new highs tend to come in clusters and often run longer than…

Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, stands at 12.5%, keeping the expansion narrative intact. This cycle still has room…

Cash Held by Households Equity inflows are drawing support from the large cash buffers households built up during the pandemic, with a significant pool of savings still sitting on the sidelines. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…

Equities – Global Valuation Range U.S. stocks carry a rich premium, while markets abroad sit closer to their historical ranges. The result is a global landscape where relative value is easier to find outside the…

S&P 500 Net Profit Margin Profit margins are widening across the S&P 500 this year, extending beyond mega-caps and the tech sector. This trend should continue into 2027, pointing to a healthier and more diverse…