S&P 500 Annualized Return per Day The 2025 playbook feels familiar: U.S. stocks climb through midweek, then traders lock in gains and pare risk before the weekend. With Thanksgiving halting trading on Thursday, the early…
Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Deutsche Bank is sticking to its call for a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December 2025 and sees the fed funds rate ending 2026 in the 3.25% to…
Ratio of Bitcoin to Production Cost Bitcoin slipped below JPMorgan’s estimated production cost of $94,000 for the first time since mid-2020, a level that has often marked the price floor in earlier cycles. Even so,…
S&P 500 and Global Central Bank Rate Cuts With most central banks cutting rates or holding steady over the past six months, the easy policy mood has helped lift risk appetite and pushed markets like…
Median Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization – Russell 2000 vs. Nasdaq 100 vs. S&P 500 Short sellers are crowding into U.S. small‑caps, where weaker balance sheets, higher borrowing costs, and exposure to…
S&P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns November 24 has a habit of lifting Wall Street’s spirits. It’s historically the S&P 500’s third-best session, averaging a 0.47% gain, trailing only October 28 and December 26.…
Sectors Positioning (High Frequency) Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech names has eased but stays lofty compared with other sectors. Valuation worries are prompting some trimming, but the broader growth narrative is far from broken.…
Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization Short interest for the median S&P 500 stock remains high, rising to 2.4%. However, the move is currently being driven more by investors using…
Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Meeting Traders are showing renewed optimism for a Fed rate cut at the December 10, 2025 FOMC meeting, pricing in a 71% chance of a…
Valuation – Real S&P 500 Index with Recessions and S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Markets move in full cycles, swinging from long bull runs to deep bear phases. These patterns have played out time and…
S&P 500 Annual Highs Per Month It’s still a bull market to love, even as the bears grow louder. History rarely sees the S&P 500 peak in October, and with new highs within reach, U.S.…