Equities – Global Valuation Range While non-U.S. markets trade at lower valuations compared to the U.S., they remain near historical norms and do not yet offer the deep discounts typically associated with extraordinary buying opportunities.…
Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic equity positioning at the 6th percentile reflects extreme caution amid high volatility. Such a low level is often seen as a potential contrarian buying opportunity in the market. Image: Deutsche Bank…
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total Concerns persist about excessive concentration, as the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 hold a significantly larger weight…
S&P 500 Index JPMorgan’s trading desk has shifted to a tactical bullish stance on U.S. equities, driven by near-term catalysts including Big Tech earnings and trade deal optimism following recent market declines. Image: Bloomberg
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 surging 4.59% last week, bulls are so bullish that they’re already heading for the moon and beyond, convinced the S&P 500 will blast off by the…
Weekly Bond Fund Flows Short-term bond funds are attracting substantial investor capital amid market volatility and economic uncertainty. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Google Searches for “Global Financial Crisis” and “Great Recession” While fears of a 2025 tariff-driven recession evoke memories of 2008, some investors see today’s prevailing pessimism as a contrarian bullish signal for stocks. Historically, extreme…
Sentiment – GS Business Optimism Tracker U.S. business optimism has seen a significant and widespread decline in early 2025, as multiple indicators and surveys report sharp drops in sentiment among CEOs, CFOs, and small business…
Hard Data vs. Soft Data The notable divergence between soft and hard economic data highlights the challenge of interpreting the true state of the economy. While sentiment surveys suggest caution, hard data has yet to…
Earnings Sentiment (Analyst Upgrades Minus Downgrades Across Markets) Earnings sentiment in the S&P 500 remains deeply negative but has shown slight improvement recently amid ongoing challenges. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Fear & Greed Index reads 42.79, indicating a neutral investor mood where neither fear nor greed prevails. Image: Real Investment Advice