U.S. Tech and S&P 500 – 1-Year Total Return Performance to Peak Past market bubbles often ended with explosive last-year rallies, far outpacing normal bull market returns. That kind of blow-off surge just isn’t happening…
Rolling 9-Week Flows into U.S. Equity ETFs and Mutual Funds Investors keep buying the dip, pouring nearly $100 billion into U.S. equity mutual funds and ETFs over the past nine weeks, convinced the bull market…
Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration $7.1 trillion in options notional value is set to expire today, marking the largest expiration on record and setting the stage for fresh market volatility. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
Survey – Where Do You Expect 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields to Be One Year from Now? Deutsche Bank’s latest survey shows that 52% of participants expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise above 4.25%…
Global Liquidity and MSCI EM Global liquidity rebounds have historically supported emerging market equities by boosting capital inflows, growth, and asset prices. Image: J.P. Morgan
Fiscal Impulse to Growth from New Fiscal Legislation in the U.S. Early 2026 may deliver a fiscal tailwind for the U.S. economy as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act kicks in, lifting household spending, business…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 100.7, the NAAIM Exposure Index makes one thing clear: active managers are all-in on US equities, very confident the market can keep climbing. The National Association of Active Investment…
Economy-Wide Firm AI Adoption Rate AI adoption keeps gaining ground, with 17.3% of firms already using artificial intelligence in their regular operations, a share projected to top 21.1% within six months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
S&P 500 and NAAIM Index Above 97 Active managers have a habit of chasing rallies and selling near lows. Last week, their equity exposure climbed to 97.13, a level usually seen around short-term market peaks.…
Contribution to S&P 500 EPS Growth The seven biggest S&P 500 stocks are set to drive 46% of the index’s EPS growth in 2026, down slightly from a 50% share this year as the rest…
Positions in S&P 500 Equity Futures by Asset Managers Too bullish? Maybe. But asset managers aren’t backing down, piling into U.S. equity futures on bets that resilient growth, easier policy, and solid earnings will keep…