Valuation – 10-Year Real Total Return for S&P 500 over the Last Century Based on Starting CAPE Ratio Markets love to stretch valuations to the limit, but history’s verdict is brutal: high CAPEs rarely end…
Proportion of S&P 500 Beating Earnings Estimate Earnings momentum isn’t cracking. With 85% of S&P 500 companies smashing earnings estimates so far, bulls are dancing while recession talk fades to a whisper. Image: Deutsche Bank…
Relative Regional Weights Within Global Equities Wall Street’s dominance isn’t a fresh story, but it’s hitting a new peak. Since the financial crisis, U.S. markets — supercharged by tech, record earnings, and a relentless dollar…
S&P 500 Options: % of S&P 500 Listed Volume Expiring within 24 Hours The boom in S&P 500 options expiring within 24 hours shows no signs of cooling, with fast‑money bets driving sharp bursts of…
S&P 500 Consecutive Trading Sessions Above 50-Day Moving Average Momentum is proving hard to break. The S&P 500 just recorded its 125th day above the 50-day moving average, the longest streak since 2011. Similar runs…
Market Capitalization U.S. champions still dominate global markets — and history says that can last. Oil once held the throne for decades. Now Big Tech does it, rich in cash and light on leverage. Image:…
U.S. Economic Forecasts Deutsche Bank expects the U.S. economy to sustain robust growth in 2026 and 2027, with core inflation steadily moving toward the Fed’s 2% target by the end of 2027 and unemployment slightly…
Valuation – MSCI World 12-Month Forward PE With valuations at 19.7 forward P/E, global stocks look expensive — not dot‑com crazy, but not exactly a bargain either. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 vs. Margin Debt Rising margin debt fuels rallies and reflects strong investor confidence, but once it slips below key trendlines like the 12‑month average, it flags fading risk appetite and growing market fragility.…
Average Post-Election Year for S&P 500 In post-election years, U.S. stocks often hit bottom by late October — before ripping higher into year-end, a seasonal gift Wall Street can’t resist. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Average Daily Performance of the S&P 500 After October 27, retail optimism, corporate buybacks, and institutional repositioning can inject fresh energy into U.S. markets. For many traders, it’s the unofficial start of the…