S&P 500 Market Capitalization to Real Disposable Personal Income The S&P 500’s market capitalization relative to real disposable personal income has reached a record high of 28 times, surpassing the previous peak of 25 times…
S&P 500 Four-Year Cycle The behavior of the S&P 500—peaking in early August with a softer year-end rally—is a typical post-election year trend observed historically in U.S. presidential election cycles. Image: Ned Davis Research
Performance of the Magnificent Seven Stocks Following a period of underperformance, the Mag-7 index has almost caught up to the S&P 500, reflecting regained investor confidence in U.S. AI giants despite the challenges posed by…
Equity Risk Premium and S&P 500 Valuations The current U.S. equity market’s expensive valuations are more grounded in earnings reality than during the late 1990s, but investors should remain cautious due to limited downside protection…
Equity Style Flows Call and put writing strategies have attracted strong inflows over the past 12 months and continue to be popular for their ability to generate income and manage downside risk. Image: J.P. Morgan…
Copper Futures Copper prices declined significantly after it became clear that refined copper—essential for many industries—would not be subject to new U.S. tariffs, causing a sharp shift in market supply and demand expectations. Image: Daily…
Monthly Median IPO Return Durig First Trading Day The strong first-day trading performance of U.S. IPOs in 2025 provides clear evidence of a resurgence in speculative trading and renewed investor confidence in new listings. Image:…
S&P 500 2025 Year-End Forecasts Wall Street’s S&P 500 2025 year-end projections have improved since tariff issues appeared more manageable, but wide disparities persist due to shifting trade policies and broader macroeconomic risks. Image: Yahoo…
GS Social Media Economic Sentiment Index Having rebounded from negative territory earlier this year, the GS Social Media Economic Sentiment Index recently surged to its highest level, indicating a significant positive shift in economic sentiment…
S&P 500 Performance in August the Second Term of Post-Election Years August is often a weak month for the U.S. stock market during post-election years of second-term presidents, when their typically more difficult and less…
S&P 500 Year-End Target Oppenheimer projects strong gains for the S&P 500 supported by macroeconomic fundamentals, progress in trade deals, and structural technological shifts, with a year-end 2025 target of 7,100 points implying continued robust…