Policy Uncertainty Index vs. S&P 500 Index Policy uncertainty often rattles markets—but those jitters tend to be short-lived, with volatility typically hitting peak levels near market lows. Image: Real Investment Advice
The 2009 S&P 500 Bull Market Compared With This One No market cycle is identical, but the S&P 500’s path since 2022 looks like a remix of the 2009–2020 bull market—same mid‑cycle pullback, same setup…
S&P 500, Russell 2000, Stoxx 600 and EM Equities – 12-Month Forward EPS Consensus Estimates Market leadership is widening. U.S. small-caps are catching up fast as EPS growth fires up in both the S&P 500…
12-Month Forward ROE Ranges for Different MSCI Regions A higher ROE points to stronger profitability—and often justifies a premium—but U.S. equity valuations also hinge on growth expectations, risk sentiment, liquidity, and investor psychology. Image: Goldman…
S&P 500 Valuations The S&P 500’s current valuation places it alongside two standout episodes of market excess—the late-1990s dot-com mania and the 2021 stimulus-fueled rally—raising a yellow flag for investors who fear a stretch of…
Gold and 200-Day Moving Average Gold’s story is still bullish, but this overheated chart, with a Z-score exceeding three, screams “cool‑down”—a pullback or a sideways pause looks more like a matter of when, not if.…
S&P 500 Performance After >35% in Six Months History stands with the bulls: up over 35% in six months, the S&P 500 has rarely moved this fast—only five times since 1950. Each time, the rally…
Buybacks – Announced Share Repurchases for S&P 500 Companies In 2025, Corporate America is going all‑in on buybacks, unleashing more than $1 trillion to lift stock prices and keep the Wall Street mood buoyant. Image:…
Returns – Gold vs. S&P 500 vs. MSCI World $4,000 gold isn’t just a headline—it’s the latest move in a powerhouse rally that has left equities in the dust since the millennium. Image: Bloomberg
Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 EPS growth for the Magnificent 7 is expected to cool to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. Mega-cap tech names should continue posting robust earnings growth,…
Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Why do bear markets matter? Because most of the gains of an inflation-adjusted bull run can be erased when the next downturn hits. Image: Real Investment Advice