U.S. Small-Cap Stocks – Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 While U.S. small-cap stocks have notably underperformed large caps for an extended period, history suggests that such cycles are not unusual and are often followed by…
Gold Speculative Positions Speculative positioning in gold has declined sharply in recent weeks, driven by profit-taking, risk repricing, and rotation into other asset classes. Image: J.P. Morgan
Nominal 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield and Indexed Return of Cyclicals vs. Defensives Higher growth expectations raise bond yields because investors demand greater compensation for potential inflation and uncertainty about future interest rates. Image: Goldman Sachs…
S&P 500 Price Target for 2025 Citing diminished tariff effects and a resilient U.S. economy, Deutsche Bank has increased its year-end S&P 500 forecast to 6,550, up from 6,150. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Gold Price Seasonality June has been a challenging month for gold investors over the past five decades, delivering the lowest hit rate and the second-worst overall performance. Image: Topdown Charts
Performance – % of S&P 500 Stocks Outperforming the Benchmark by Year Market leadership has broadened in 2025. Whereas a handful of large tech companies dominated in 2023 and 2024, more than half of S&P…
S&P 500 Index The market’s ongoing volatility is a direct response to the unpredictable cycle of tariff announcements, pauses, and retaliations, with sentiment swinging between hope for de-escalation and fear of economic damage. Image: Deutsche…
Margin Debt and MoM Change The recent three-month, $90 billion decline in margin debt is not characteristic of what is typically observed at market tops, where margin debt tends to rise or peak amid speculative…
S&P 500 After 5% Gain In May Historically, when May delivers a gain of over 5%, June tends to see continued strength, and the following 12 months have always produced positive returns, averaging close to…
Median Annual S&P 500 Total Return Based on Nominal 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield There is no consistently clear or stable relationship between bond yields and equity returns. Their correlation is dynamic and shaped by various…
Global Debt Hits a Fresh Record While the global debt-to-GDP ratio has slightly declined, the absolute debt burden remains a major risk, requiring careful fiscal management and international cooperation to avoid financial instability. Image: International…