Valuation – S&P 500 vs. 10-Year Treasury Bond

Valuation – S&P 500 vs. 10-Year Treasury Bond This chart suggests that there is a 2 in 3 chance of a trend reversal, as the S&P 500 looks overbought vs. the 10-year Treasury bond. Image:…

Risk & Return, and Sharpe Ratio

Risk & Return, and Sharpe Ratio This chart shows risk and return since 1970 and since the 2009 low, including the Sharpe ratio. Image: Fidelity Investments

Vanguard and U.S. Mutual Funds

Vanguard and U.S. Mutual Funds Is Vanguard getting too big as a firm? What about its impact on corporate America? Image: Financial Times

Aggregate CTAs Equity Exposure

Aggregate CTAs Equity Exposure CTAs equity exposure also remains at a high level. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 and Caixin China Manufacturing PMI

S&P 500 and Caixin China Manufacturing PMI This chart suggests that the relationship between the S&P 500 and the Chinese Manufacturing PMI offers a better explanation since 2015. Image: Danske Bank Research

Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment

Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment Incumbent presidential election years have traditionally been good for equities, with an average return of 11.4% since 22nd amendment. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

MSCI World vs. Global Composite PMI

MSCI World vs. Global Composite PMI Global stock markets are very optimistic, as soft and hard indicators suggest that the global slowdown may have bottomed out. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Equity Indices Futures

U.S. Equity Indices Futures The U.S. stock market is on fire. Investors have grown extremely bullish. Image: BCA Research

Gold and Emerging Market Currency Index

Gold and Emerging Market Currency Index Historically, a weak U.S. dollar tends to be good for gold and emerging markets. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond