S&P 500 2025 EPS Estimate After Tariff Impact Deutsche Bank slashed its 2025 S&P 500 EPS estimate to $240 (from $282) due to tariffs’ outsized burden on U.S. companies. The S&P 500 index could rally to 6,150 if trade tensions meaningfully abate. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Index The S&P 500’s recent muted action reflects a market in wait-and-see mode, with optimism about progress in trade talks tempered by fears that the recent rebound from April’s lows could reverse if economic and earnings momentum weakens. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 2025 Year-End Forecasts The ongoing tariff disputes have directly prompted a broad reassessment of S&P 500 prospects, with a growing number of Wall Street strategists adopting a more cautious stance for the remainder of 2025. Image: Yahoo Finance
Gold vs. Other Asset Total Returns A performance rotation from stocks to gold is emerging. This may signal the beginning of a broader shift, as Trump’s efforts to weaken the dollar and lower rates coincide with a deteriorating outlook for equities. Image: Topdown Charts
Sentiment/VIX Composite vs. S&P 500 Current low levels of the Sentiment/VIX Composite Index tend to coincide with market lows, indicating potential buying opportunities rather than the onset of larger market reversions. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 and Zweig Breadth Thrust Bulls have reason to smile as the Zweig Breadth Thrust has perfectly predicted S&P 500 gains in all 19 post-WWII instances, averaging 23.4% returns within a year and never producing losses over 6- or 12-month horizons. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Forward Earnings and U.S. Dollar Index The weakening U.S. dollar is raising significant concerns for U.S. corporate earnings, particularly through its interplay with tariffs and global economic uncertainty. Image: Bloomberg
Magnificent Seven Stocks vs. S&P 500 Index Since DeepSeek’s emergence in January 2025, the Magnificent Seven stocks have underperformed compared to the S&P 500, driven by AI disruption fears and concerns over capital expenditures. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 2025 Target Deutsche Bank strategists slashed their S&P 500 year-end target by 12% to 6,150, attributing the revision primarily to escalating trade war tariffs and their economic fallout. Image: Bloomberg
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day While bulls are toasting the S&P 500 gains this week, bears are busy Googling “emergency exits from a market rally.” Happy Friday, Everyone! 😎
Foreign Investors Equity Allocation Percentile vs. History While trade policy concerns, slowing growth, and dollar depreciation have created headwinds, Goldman expects moderate foreign selling of U.S. equities in March-April, driven by valuation opportunities and strategic positioning. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research