S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations S&P 500 Q1 2025 earnings growth has substantially outpaced initial expectations, driven by robust results from key sectors and widespread positive surprises. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day After the S&P 500’s 2.92% rise last week, bulls are ready to party, but bears insist it’s too soon to celebrate-a bear market rally might crash the party! Have a Great Week, Everyone! 😎
Median S&P 500 Performance During 10% Corrections If there is no recession, U.S. stocks tend to do well after market corrections, often rebounding strongly and offering attractive returns to investors who stay the course. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Aggregate U.S. Dollar Position, Non-Commercial Traders Speculators are holding their most bearish positions on the U.S. dollar since September 2024, driven by global optimism, de-dollarization trends, and relative strength in other major currencies. Image: Bloomberg
Various S&P 500 Index 6-Month Returns While 1.8% may seem modest during the May-October period, it still represents a positive return. Even though this timeframe is weaker than the November–April period, the market has still tended to rise more often than not. Image: Carson Investment Research
Combined AAII & II Sentiment The current elevated bearish sentiment in the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and Investors Intelligence (II) surveys is still signaling a potential bullish opportunity for contrarian investors. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 8-Day Rolling % Returns Rolling 8-day returns for the S&P 500, combined with technical and sentiment indicators, suggest the index is likely to enter a period of consolidation in the near term. Image: The Daily Shot
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 up 2.92% this week, bulls are confident the market’s momentum will continue, while bears argue it’s just a bear market rally! Have a Great Weekend, Everyone! 😎
Trade Policy Uncertainty When trade policy uncertainty peaks, the S&P 500 often posts positive returns. Markets tend to over-discount risks during uncertain periods, and relief rallies are common once worst-case scenarios are avoided or resolved. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index Return During May The “sell in May and go away” adage is more myth than practical advice. Rather than trying to time the market, focusing on long-term goals is wiser-especially since May has delivered positive returns in 9 of the past 10 years. Image: Carson Investment Research
Price of Gold While gold remains in a long-term bull market, short-term pullbacks are normal following strong advances-especially as factors driving safe-haven demand begin to fade. Image: The Daily Shot