Category: Blog

S&P 500 Valuations Valuations don’t matter—until they do. Prolonged periods of high valuations can lead to lower future returns, so investors should approach them with caution. Image: Topdown Charts

Average Year for the S&P 500 the Past 20 Years Bulls have reason to smile, as March 12 has marked notable market bottoms for U.S. stocks over the past two decades, and from that point, things tend to improve significantly. “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” Image: Carson Investment Research

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day February’s CPI inflation drops to 2.8%, beating the 2.9% forecast. On CPI days, bulls are like kids in a candy store, while bears sit in the corner, sulking like they forgot their party hats! Happy Great Day, Everyone! 😎

Inflation – U.S. 10-Year Breakeven Rate The declining U.S. 10-year breakeven inflation rate indicates that market participants expect inflation to moderate, aligning with the Fed’s 2% long-term target. Image: The Daily Shot

The Worst Day of the Year for the S&P 500 When It Gains >20% for the Year Monday saw the S&P 500 drop 2.7%, its worst day this year. Even in years with strong returns over 20%, single-day losses average 3.5% since 1950. Sharp daily declines are often part of significant annual gains. Image: Carson…

Annual U.S. Payroll Employment Growth in the Month Before Each Post-War Recession The recent slowdown in U.S. job creation is concerning, as it nears levels typically seen before economic downturns. Image: Paulsen Perspectives

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Wall Street bears believe every bull market is just a bear market in disguise. When the crash comes, they can’t resist saying, “We knew it all along!” Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 🐫🐪😎

S&P 500 Performance During Government Shutdowns While government shutdowns can create short-term volatility, historical data shows that the S&P 500 has gained an average of 12.7% in the 12 months after such events, with positive returns occurring 86.4% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Market Capitalization vs. U.S. GDP The wealth creation in the U.S. stock market has significantly outpaced the broader economy, leading to increased sensitivity of consumer spending to equity moves. Image: Bloomberg

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 down year-to-date, it’s clear bulls need a little encouragement—let’s bring back their mojo and “Make Bulls Great Again!” Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎

Aggregated U.S. Equity Futures Positions Last week, leveraged funds and asset managers continued to hold significant net long positions in U.S. equity futures. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation