S&P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns Historically, the S&P 500 has shown a tendency to underperform in the latter half of February, potentially due to a combination of seasonal market patterns and investor sentiment. Image: Carson Investment Research
Instances When S&P 500 Longer-Term Rally Stalls Historically, periods of strong annual stock gains of over 20% followed by short-term flat performance have often led to weaker returns in the following 3 to 6 months. Image: MarketDesk Research
Share of Median S&P 500 Stock’s Trailing 6-Month Return Explained by Micro Factors 74% of the median S&P 500 stock’s trailing 6-month return can be explained by micro factors, which is significantly above the long-term average of 58%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average Stock Performance on Earnings Beats While U.S. companies are posting some of their best earnings growth in years, concerns over stretched valuations and macroeconomic uncertainties have limited stock price gains following earnings announcements. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
AAII – U.S. Retail Investors Allocation to Stocks, Bonds and Cash High equity allocations and low cash positions don’t always mean a market reversal is near. However, they suggest that much of the market’s potential gains may already be priced in, as investors have heavily committed to equities. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 3% YTD or More on Valentine’s Day Valentine’s Day brings good news for bulls: When the S&P 500 is up 3% YTD or more on February 14th, it has historically continued to rise for the rest of the year 93.8% of the time, with an average gain of 13.7% since 1950. Image: Carson…
Gold Prices in 2024 U.S. Dollars The real (inflation-adjusted) price of gold has reached a new all-time high, driven by several factors including U.S. tariff uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, and increased demand from global central banks. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Aggregate EPS Surprise Corporate America has once again demonstrated its ability to sustain profit margins, with a strong Q4 2024 earnings season surpassing expectations by a significant margin. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have been so weak on Fridays that bears are starting to think it’s their designated selling day—good time to take profits! Happy Valentine’s Day! 💝
Capital Expenditure by Magnificent Seven Companies vs. Share Price Index Major U.S. tech companies are maintaining their focus on AI infrastructure investment, even as DeepSeek’s breakthroughs raise questions about spending sustainability. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Inflation Mentions on Earnings Calls Mentions of “inflation” during S&P 500 companies’ earnings calls have plummeted to their lowest levels in years, reflecting a shift in corporate concerns and economic conditions. Image: Bloomberg