Health Care Stocks – Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector tends to outperform after Election Day. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2000, the EUR/USD tends to rise after the U.S. presidential election. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Percentage of Popular Vote and Electoral College Vote for Winning Candidate in U.S. Presidential Elections Since 1789 Winning the popular vote doesn’t ensure victory in the United States. Image: J.P. Morgan
Performance of the S&P 500 on the 10 Days Following U.S. Presidential Elections The S&P 500 has gained an average 1.7% on the 10 days following U.S. Presidential elections since 1944. Image: Statista
Forward Three-Month S&P 500 Performance Following U.S. Presidential Election The S&P 500 tends to do much better if the President is re-elected. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Cumulative U.S. Equity Fund Flows Around U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2004 Positive flows into U.S. equity funds could support a further rise in the S&P 500 after the U.S. presidential election. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector tends to underperform through U.S. presidential elections, due to uncertainty about future government policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median S&P 500 Return by Month during Presidential Election Years Can investors expect a year-end rally this year? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average S&P 500 Performance Around U.S. Presidential Elections Since 1972 Market volatility is expected to continue ahead of the U.S. presidential election. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Implied Probability of Vice President Biden Winning 2020 Presidential Election Is Joe Biden’s advantage underestimated? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Average Performance – Presidential Election Years & Incumbent Party Outcome 1936-2016 The S&P 500 has been a great indicator in the three months prior to the U.S. presidential election. Historically, the S&P 500’s performance has been 87% accurate in predicting the winner of the election. When the S&P 500’s performance was positive, the…