Search Results for: presidential election

Median S&P 500 Return by Month during Presidential Election Years Can investors expect a year-end rally this year? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Cumulative U.S. Equity Fund Flows from 1 Year Before to 1 Year After U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2004 Could positive flows into U.S. equity funds support a further rise of the S&P 500 after the U.S. presidential election? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Average S&P 500 Performance Around U.S. Presidential Elections Since 1972 Market volatility is expected to continue ahead of the U.S. presidential election. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

Implied Probability of Vice President Biden Winning 2020 Presidential Election Is Joe Biden’s advantage underestimated? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Average Performance – Presidential Election Years & Incumbent Party Outcome 1936-2016 The S&P 500 has been a great indicator in the three months prior to the U.S. presidential election. Historically, the S&P 500’s performance has been 87% accurate in predicting the winner of the election. When the S&P 500’s performance was positive, the…

Average S&P 500 Price Performance – U.S. Presidential Election Results The S&P 500 has been a great indicator in the three months prior to the U.S. presidential election. Image: Strategas Research Partners

Odds of Winning U.S. Presidential Election Here’s a look at the current betting odds for Donald Trump, Michael Bloomberg and Bernie Sanders. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Calendar Year Performance During U.S. Presidential Election Years Presidential election years have historically been good for U.S. equities, when an incumbent president winds up winning reelection. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute

Sector Performance in the 9 Months Prior to Past U.S. Presidential Elections This chart shows the sector median excess return vs. the S&P 500 during 9 months before 11 presidential elections since 1976. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Presidential Elections and the Stock Market The first two years of presidential terms tend to produce below-average returns, while the next 2 years tend to produce above-average returns. Image: Fidelity Investments