Performance of a Basket of Stocks with the Highest Net Call Volume Momentum-driven strategies have been ripping higher lately, a reminder of how herd behavior and trend-chasing can turbocharge short-term rallies. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…
Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession Markets price a 19% recession risk in the U.S.—above average, but nowhere near panic mode. Image: Goldman Sachs…
U.S. Households’ Allocation to Equity, Bond and Cash Americans have never been so invested—literally—in the market, with household equity allocations at all-time highs, a boom shadowed by warnings of how sentiment can sour overnight. Image:…
Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Wall Street sees the profit engine accelerating—S&P 500 earnings are set to rise 9% in 2025 and jump 14% in 2026, defying economic jitters and trade headwinds. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Flows into Metals Funds Commodity funds—especially those tracking gold and silver—have seen a surge of inflows in recent weeks, fueled by geopolitical jitters, bets on Fed rate cuts, and steady central bank buying. Image: Goldman…
S&P 500 – Duration Between 3%+ and 5%+ Selloffs The S&P 500 hasn’t stumbled more than 3% in half a year—a winning streak that’s beginning to smack of complacency, the kind that often sets the…
Spot Gold vs. Spot Silver Backed by central-bank buying, surging ETF inflows, and Fed rate cuts, gold refuses to lose altitude. With U.S.–China tensions flaring and another government shutdown, investors keep piling into safety. Image:…
Ownership Breakdown of the U.S. Equity Market (Share of Corporate Equity Market) U.S. households hold 40% of the U.S. equity market—a show of faith in stocks. Trouble is, nearly 90% of that sits with the…
U.S. Recession Probability May’s tariff relief helped temper U.S. recession odds and buoy investor sentiment, but this new round of trade tensions could put that fragile calm to the test. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets Now in its fourth year, the bull market shows little sign of tiring. History still favors the bulls—since 1950, this phase of the cycle has usually meant more…
Valuations and Peak of an Equities Rally Market participants are buzzing about an AI bubble with valuations sky-high. But ditching stocks now could mean missing the late-game rally—volatility shows we’re not in full-blown mania just…