ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 surging 4.59% last week, bulls are so bullish that they’re already heading for the moon and beyond, convinced the S&P 500 will blast off by the end of 2025! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Weekly Bond Fund Flows Short-term bond funds are attracting substantial investor capital amid market volatility and economic uncertainty. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Google Searches for “Global Financial Crisis” and “Great Recession” While fears of a 2025 tariff-driven recession evoke memories of 2008, some investors see today’s prevailing pessimism as a contrarian bullish signal for stocks. Historically, extreme bearish sentiment has often marked market bottoms. Image: CNBC
Sentiment – GS Business Optimism Tracker U.S. business optimism has seen a significant and widespread decline in early 2025, as multiple indicators and surveys report sharp drops in sentiment among CEOs, CFOs, and small business owners. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Hard Data vs. Soft Data The notable divergence between soft and hard economic data highlights the challenge of interpreting the true state of the economy. While sentiment surveys suggest caution, hard data has yet to confirm a significant slowdown. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Earnings Sentiment (Analyst Upgrades Minus Downgrades Across Markets) Earnings sentiment in the S&P 500 remains deeply negative but has shown slight improvement recently amid ongoing challenges. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 jumping 4.59% last week, bulls are celebrating like they just hit the jackpot, while bears are trying to find their lost optimism! Have a Great Week, Everyone! 😎
Crypto Fund Flows Crypto funds have seen a sharp rise in inflows, signaling growing investor optimism in the crypto market. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
GS U.S. Financial Conditions Index Despite ongoing tariff uncertainties, recent U.S. financial conditions are showing some signs of easing, which could help create a more favorable environment for economic growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – Forward 12-Month P/E for S&P 500 With a forward P/E ratio of 20, the S&P 500 is trading above its long-term historical average. As a result, current valuations are elevated rather than historically cheap. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Performance After >70% Advancers Three Days in a Row on the NYSE Historically, three consecutive days with over 70% NYSE advancers signal strong bullish momentum. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has delivered positive 12-month returns 96% of the time, averaging an 18.9% gain. Image: Carson Investment Research