S&P 500 – 2022 Correction vs. 2025 Correction The U.S. stock market did bounce as the technical composite dipped below 20, and the rally that began this past week could extend further, particularly if positive news emerges. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Performance When There is a 6-Day Win Streak During a Calendar Year Bulls once again have reason to smile: a six-day S&P 500 winning streak has preceded positive annual performance in 15 out of 16 years since 2005, with 2018 being the only exception. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 May has historically been a weak month for the U.S. stock market, with the S&P 500 averaging a gain of just 0.2% since 1964. Image: Topdown Charts
Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession The current market-implied probability of a U.S. recession occurring within the next 12 months stands at 23%, which is slightly higher than the long-term average. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 down 5.45% year-to-date, bulls are making a comeback with the slogan “Make The Stock Market Great Again!”-because apparently, even the market needs a little political pep talk to bounce back from its midlife crisis! Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 😎
Impact of Policy Uncertainty on S&P 500 Cash Use S&P 500 buybacks may face significant impacts from policy uncertainty. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Consumer Confidence Trump’s approval exceeds Biden’s late-term lows, but deteriorating consumer confidence’s predictive power signals substantial downside risk as economic anxieties translate into political consequences. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Returns the First 100 Days of a New Term The S&P 500’s 7.8% decline during Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office represents the worst start to a president’s term since Richard Nixon’s in 1973. Image: Yahoo Finance
Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic equity positioning at the 6th percentile reflects extreme caution amid high volatility. Such a low level is often seen as a potential contrarian buying opportunity in the market. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total Concerns persist about excessive concentration, as the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 hold a significantly larger weight in the index than their share of earnings would suggest. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index JPMorgan’s trading desk has shifted to a tactical bullish stance on U.S. equities, driven by near-term catalysts including Big Tech earnings and trade deal optimism following recent market declines. Image: Bloomberg