Category: Blog

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day After the S&P 500’s 2.92% rise last week, bulls are ready to party, but bears insist it’s too soon to celebrate-a bear market rally might crash the party! Have a Great Week, Everyone! 😎

S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks U.S. companies are announcing share buybacks at a record pace this earnings season, underscoring their confidence in financial strength and commitment to boosting shareholder value. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History At 20x, the S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio continues to exceed its historical average, indicating that the index is still trading at elevated valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Median S&P 500 Performance During 10% Corrections If there is no recession, U.S. stocks tend to do well after market corrections, often rebounding strongly and offering attractive returns to investors who stay the course. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Aggregate U.S. Dollar Position, Non-Commercial Traders Speculators are holding their most bearish positions on the U.S. dollar since September 2024, driven by global optimism, de-dollarization trends, and relative strength in other major currencies. Image: Bloomberg

Various S&P 500 Index 6-Month Returns While 1.8% may seem modest during the May-October period, it still represents a positive return. Even though this timeframe is weaker than the November–April period, the market has still tended to rise more often than not. Image: Carson Investment Research

Combined AAII & II Sentiment The current elevated bearish sentiment in the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and Investors Intelligence (II) surveys is still signaling a potential bullish opportunity for contrarian investors. Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 8-Day Rolling % Returns Rolling 8-day returns for the S&P 500, combined with technical and sentiment indicators, suggest the index is likely to enter a period of consolidation in the near term. Image: The Daily Shot

S&P 500 Sector P/E Valuations Relative to History Comparisons with historical data suggest persistent overvaluation in multiple S&P 500 sectors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 up 2.92% this week, bulls are confident the market’s momentum will continue, while bears argue it’s just a bear market rally! Have a Great Weekend, Everyone! 😎

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -4.62% YoY in April. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary Help Services Jobs are often considered a leading indicator of a potential recession (red line at -3.5%), but they do…